Sport Picks
Match Events
69'
69'
Zavoli D.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-1. This leg finished 0-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- America RJ have won more games recently than Nova Iguacu.
- Win probability leans America RJ's way, sitting at 42%.
- America RJ have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Nova Iguacu, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
America RJ Clean Sheet 68%
Nova Iguacu Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | America RJ | Nova Iguacu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 13 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.53 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 22, 2026 Copa Rio
Nova Iguacu vs America RJ
1:1
Jul 15, 2026 Copa Rio
America RJ vs Nova Iguacu
0:1
Feb 10, 2021 Carioca
Nova Iguacu vs America RJ
1:0
Jan 23, 2021 Carioca
America RJ vs Nova Iguacu
1:1
Jul 4, 2020 Carioca
America RJ vs Nova Iguacu
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
America RJ Compare
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Nova Iguacu Compare
Top Goalscorer Zavoli D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
America RJ 51 / 100
Nova Iguacu 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
America RJ Nova Iguacu
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Nova Iguacu has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 1.60 goals.
Solid form: America RJ remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
America RJ's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Scoring Trends
America RJ VS Nova Iguacu
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
America RJ
(Home) 22 Jul
Nova Iguacu
1 : 1 America RJ
18 Jul
Americano
4 : 1 America RJ
15 Jul
America RJ
0 : 1 Nova Iguacu
11 Jul
America RJ
0 : 0 Americano
04 Jul
America RJ
5 : 0 Serrano FC
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15 Jul
America RJ
0 : 1 Nova Iguacu
11 Jul
America RJ
0 : 0 Americano
04 Jul
America RJ
5 : 0 Serrano FC
24 Jun
America RJ
0 : 1 CEAC/Araruama
24 Jun
America RJ
: Goytacaz
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Nova Iguacu
(Away) 26 Sept
Boavista
2 : 0 Nova Iguacu
19 Sept
Nova Iguacu
1 : 1 Boavista
02 Sept
Sampaio Correa FE
2 : 1 Nova Iguacu
26 Aug
Nova Iguacu
2 : 0 Sampaio Correa FE
12 Aug
Nova Iguacu
0 : 0 Olaria
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26 Sept
Boavista
2 : 0 Nova Iguacu
02 Sept
Sampaio Correa FE
2 : 1 Nova Iguacu
05 Aug
Olaria
0 : 1 Nova Iguacu
15 Jul
America RJ
0 : 1 Nova Iguacu
08 Jul
Fluminense
6 : 1 Nova Iguacu
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Americano 2
Macae 1
TBD -
Portuguesa RJ -
Cabofriense 1
Bonsucesso 3
TBD -
Madureira -
Perolas Negras 10
Santa Cruz RJ 1
TBD -
Marica -
CEAC/Araruama 2
Sao Cristovao 1
TBD -
Boavista -
Olaria 6
Duque de Caxias 0
TBD -
Bangu -
America RJ -
Goytacaz -
TBD -
Nova Iguacu -
Sao Goncalo 3
Serrano FC 2
TBD -
Volta Redonda -
Resende 11
Belford Roxo 2
TBD -
Sampaio Correa FE -
1/8-finals
Americano 1
Portuguesa RJ 2
Bonsucesso 3
Madureira 4
Perolas Negras 0
Marica 3
CEAC/Araruama 0
Boavista 5
Olaria 3
Bangu 1
America RJ 1
Nova Iguacu 2
Sao Goncalo 2
Volta Redonda 1
Resende 0
Sampaio Correa FE 3
Quarter-finals
Portuguesa RJ 1
Madureira 2
Marica 1
Boavista 3
Olaria 0
Nova Iguacu 1
Sao Goncalo 0
Sampaio Correa FE 1
Semi-finals
Madureira 0
Boavista 2
Nova Iguacu 3
Sampaio Correa FE 2
Final
Boavista 3
Nova Iguacu 1
Madureira 1
Sampaio Correa FE 3
