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America RJ vs Sao Goncalo

Brazil Brazil

Carioca 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Galvao
68' Event
Eberson
72'
Ferreira N.

AI Match Summary

The Carioca 2 2025 game between America RJ and Sao Goncalo finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
America RJ
33%
Draws
40%
Sao Goncalo
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Sao Goncalo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Sao Goncalo haven't matched America RJ's recent run of results.
  • Sao Goncalo are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
America RJ Clean Sheet 18%
Sao Goncalo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric America RJ Sao Goncalo
Matches Played 29 26
Wins 11 9
Draws 7 8
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 0.88 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2026 Carioca 2
America RJ vs Sao Goncalo
2:1
Jun 28, 2025 Carioca 2
America RJ vs Sao Goncalo
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

America RJ Compare

Top Goalscorer Galvao
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Sao Goncalo Compare

Top Goalscorer Eberson
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

America RJ 28 / 100
Sao Goncalo 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
America RJ Sao Goncalo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Goncalo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 26 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

America RJ scored in 59% of their last 27 games.

America RJ went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

America RJ VS Sao Goncalo
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sao Goncalo1154213:819
2Bangu1144311:816
3CEAC/Araruama114438:916
4Olaria1143414:1015
5Resende114348:1015
6America RJ113537:714
7Cabofriense113539:1014
8Perolas Negras1134410:1013
9Americano1144313:1012
10Audax RJ1133511:1512
11Duque de Caxias113358:1212
12Goncalense112639:1212