America RN in this Serie D 2019 matchup, with the score ending 8-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored America RN.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
America RN
30%
Draws
23%
Serrano PB
Draw rate projection: 30%Favored: America RN
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
America RN have won more games recently than Serrano PB.
America RN are the model's pick here, at 90%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals92%
Over 1.5 Goals82%
Over 2.5 Goals78%
Over 3.5 Goals6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS)67.4%
America RN Clean Sheet20%
Serrano PB Clean Sheet16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
Metric
America RN
Serrano PB
Matches Played
32
27
Wins
19
4
Draws
8
9
Losses
5
14
Goals Scored
1.84
1.07
Goals Conceded
0.63
2.44
Expected Goals (xG)
0.94
0.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)
1.10
1.40
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 9, 2019Serie D
America RNvsSerrano PB
8:0
May 4, 2019Serie D
Serrano PBvsAmerica RN
0:6
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
America RN Compare
Top GoalscorerRoger Gaucho
2 Goals
Assists LeaderClaudio Murici
2 Ast
Avg xG / game0.72
Avg xA / game0.47
Serrano PB Compare
Avg xG / game0.4
Avg xA / game0.24
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
America RN85 / 100
Serrano PB10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
America RN Serrano PB
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary PickAmerica RN Win (1)
Secondary PickOver 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score2:1
BTTS OutcomeYes (GG)
Over/Under PickOver 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
America RN's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 32 recent games.
Defensive concern: Serrano PB conceded in 85% of 27 recent games.
Games between these two average 7.00 goals.
Recent resilience: America RN stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.