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America RN vs Serrano PB

Brazil Brazil

Serie D 2019
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Joazi
10' Event
Max
15' Event
Roger Gaucho

AI Match Summary

America RN in this Serie D 2019 matchup, with the score ending 8-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored America RN.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
America RN
30%
Draws
23%
Serrano PB
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: America RN

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • America RN have won more games recently than Serrano PB.
  • America RN are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
America RN Clean Sheet 20%
Serrano PB Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric America RN Serrano PB
Matches Played 32 27
Wins 19 4
Draws 8 9
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 1.84 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.63 2.44
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2019 Serie D
America RN vs Serrano PB
8:0
May 4, 2019 Serie D
Serrano PB vs America RN
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

America RN Compare

Top Goalscorer Roger Gaucho
2 Goals
Assists Leader Claudio Murici
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Serrano PB Compare

Avg xG / game 0.4
Avg xA / game 0.24

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

America RN 85 / 100
Serrano PB 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
America RN Serrano PB

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick America RN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

America RN's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Defensive concern: Serrano PB conceded in 85% of 27 recent games.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Recent resilience: America RN stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

America RN VS Serrano PB
1.38 Goals Scored 0.5
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

America RN

(Home)
26 Jul
Gama
4 : 2
America RN
19 Jul
America RN
1 : 0
Gama
13 Jul
America RN
2 : 1
Trem
04 Jul
Trem
1 : 4
America RN
27 Jun
America RN
1 : 0
Fluminense-PI
Page 1 of 7

Serrano PB

(Away)
20 Sept
Serrano PB
1 : 1
Sport PB
17 Sept
Spartax
1 : 1
Serrano PB
12 Sept
Serrano PB
1 : 1
Cruzeiro-PB
21 Sept
Serrano PB
5 : 1
Spartax
18 Sept
Sao Paulo Crystal
3 : 0
Serrano PB
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Raimundo RR 6 4 0 2 15:6 12
2 Fast Clube 6 2 3 1 9:5 9
3 Barcelona RO 6 2 2 2 7:10 8
4 Rio Branco AC 6 1 1 4 6:16 4
Promotion - Serie D 2019 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manaus FC 6 4 2 0 16:7 14
2 Real Ariquemes 6 3 2 1 9:9 11
3 Galvez 6 1 3 2 10:12 6
4 Santos AP 6 0 1 5 3:10 1
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League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Moto Club 6 4 2 0 16:4 14
2 Sao Raimundo PA 6 4 1 1 12:7 13
3 Ypiranga AP 6 1 2 3 8:13 5
4 Atl. Roraima 6 0 1 5 3:15 1
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League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bragantino PA 6 3 0 3 8:7 9
2 Floresta EC 6 2 3 1 11:7 9
3 River-PI 6 2 3 1 10:7 9
4 Santa Cruz de Natal 6 1 2 3 6:14 5
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League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Cearense 6 5 0 1 12:6 15
2 Central SC 6 3 0 3 10:7 9
3 AE Altos 6 3 0 3 7:10 9
4 Maranhao 6 1 0 5 10:16 3
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League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America RN 6 4 2 0 20:1 14
2 America PE 6 3 1 2 8:8 10
3 Bahia de Feira 6 3 1 2 12:5 7
4 Serrano PB 6 0 0 6 2:28 0
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League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jacuipense 6 5 0 1 11:2 15
2 ASA 6 4 1 1 8:5 13
3 Campinense 6 2 1 3 6:5 7
4 Academica Vitoria 6 0 0 6 3:16 0
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League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fluminense de Feira 6 3 3 0 8:4 12
2 Salgueiro 6 2 4 0 8:6 10
3 Sergipe 6 1 2 3 11:10 5
4 Coruripe 6 1 1 4 2:9 4
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League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itabaiana 6 4 1 1 9:5 13
2 Juazeirense 6 3 2 1 8:4 11
3 Aparecidense 6 3 0 3 8:5 9
4 Interporto 6 0 1 5 2:13 1
5 Gurupi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
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Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ipora 6 3 1 2 7:5 10
2 Sinop FC 6 2 3 1 7:8 9
3 Corumbaense 6 2 1 3 9:9 7
4 Palmas 6 1 3 2 5:6 6
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League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Patrocinense 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
2 Uniao Rondonopolis 6 3 1 2 10:9 10
3 Anapolina 6 2 2 2 6:6 8
4 Operario MS 6 1 2 3 6:9 5
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League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Caldense 6 5 1 0 7:1 16
2 Vitoria ES 6 3 2 1 7:4 11
3 Portuguesa RJ 6 2 1 3 5:6 7
4 Sobradinho 6 0 0 6 1:9 0
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League Standings (Group 13)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brasiliense 6 3 3 0 5:2 12
2 Ituano 6 3 2 1 11:3 11
3 URT 6 1 3 2 2:3 6
4 Serra 6 0 2 4 1:11 2
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League Standings (Group 14)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Novorizontino 6 4 2 0 13:3 14
2 Hercilio Luz 6 3 0 3 5:6 9
3 Itaborai 6 1 2 3 6:10 5
4 Tupi-MG 6 1 2 3 5:10 5
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League Standings (Group 15)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brusque 6 5 0 1 15:6 15
2 Boavista 6 5 0 1 9:5 15
3 SC Gaucho 6 1 0 5 5:8 3
4 Foz do Iguacu 6 1 0 5 3:13 3
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League Standings (Group 16)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cianorte 6 4 1 1 5:3 13
2 SER Caxias do Sul 6 3 2 1 8:4 11
3 Sao Caetano 6 1 2 3 7:7 5
4 Tubarao 6 1 1 4 7:13 4
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League Standings (Group 17)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Avenida 6 3 1 2 6:5 10
2 Ferroviaria 6 3 0 3 4:3 9
3 Maringa FC 6 2 2 2 4:5 8
4 Joinville 6 2 1 3 3:4 7
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Ranking of third-placed teams