Sport Picks

Stadium Background

America SP vs Itaqua

Brazil Brazil

Paulista B
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Dias R.
35' Event
PH Weide
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-3. The second leg ended 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
America SP
20%
Draws
40%
Itaqua
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Itaqua carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Itaqua arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
America SP Clean Sheet 15%
Itaqua Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric America SP Itaqua
Matches Played 32 16
Wins 11 12
Draws 11 2
Losses 10 2
Goals Scored 1.19 2.06
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Paulista B
Itaqua vs America SP
0:3
Jul 26, 2026 Paulista B
America SP vs Itaqua
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

America SP Compare

Top Goalscorer Dias R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Itaqua Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

America SP 31 / 100
Itaqua 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
America SP Itaqua

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

America SP found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (32 games).

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

America SP has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Itaqua's defensive record shows goals conceded in 56% of 16 matches.

Scoring Trends

America SP VS Itaqua
2 Goals Scored 2.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

America SP

(Home)
16 Aug
Independente SP
4 : 1
America SP
09 Aug
America SP
2 : 0
Independente SP
02 Aug
Itaqua
0 : 3
America SP
26 Jul
America SP
1 : 1
Itaqua
19 Jul
Jose Bonifacio EC
2 : 4
America SP
Page 1 of 7

Itaqua

(Away)
02 Aug
Itaqua
0 : 3
America SP
26 Jul
America SP
1 : 1
Itaqua
18 Jul
Itaqua
1 : 0
Uniao Mogi
11 Jul
Uniao Mogi
1 : 4
Itaqua
04 Jul
Itaqua
3 : 0
Paulinia FU
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Independente SP 4
Tupa 0
Paulinense 3
Sao Carlos 0
Flamengo SP 2
Audax-SP 1
Matonense 1
Assisense 0
Itaqua 6
Paulinia FU 1
Maua FC 3
Uniao Mogi 5
Jose Bonifacio EC 4
Manthiqueira 1
America SP 3
Santacruzense 0
Quarter-finals
Independente SP 3
Paulinense 1
Flamengo SP 4
Matonense 1
Itaqua 5
Uniao Mogi 1
Jose Bonifacio EC 2
America SP 4
Semi-finals
Independente SP 2
Flamengo SP 1
Itaqua 1
America SP 4
Final
Independente SP 4
America SP 3