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America SP vs Santacruzense Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Paulista B
America SP Logo

America SP

3 - 0
FT
Santacruzense Logo

Santacruzense

Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Chico
53' Event
Aislan
90' Event
Dias R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. The second leg ended 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
America SP
30%
Draws
23%
Santacruzense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: America SP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and America SP come out ahead of Santacruzense on wins alone.
  • Model gives America SP a 47% chance of winning this.
  • America SP have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Santacruzense, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
America SP Clean Sheet 68%
Santacruzense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric America SP Santacruzense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 11 7
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 1.2 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Paulista B
America SP vs Santacruzense
3:0
Jun 28, 2026 Paulista B
Santacruzense vs America SP
0:0
Apr 2, 2014 Paulista A3
America SP vs Santacruzense
1:3
Mar 8, 2012 Paulista A2
Santacruzense vs America SP
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

America SP Compare

Top Goalscorer Chico
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aislan
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Santacruzense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

America SP 95 / 100
Santacruzense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
America SP Santacruzense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick America SP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

America SP scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Santacruzense let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: America SP stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

America SP VS Santacruzense
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

America SP

(Home)
16 Aug
Independente SP
4 : 1
America SP
09 Aug
America SP
2 : 0
Independente SP
02 Aug
Itaqua
0 : 3
America SP
26 Jul
America SP
1 : 1
Itaqua
19 Jul
Jose Bonifacio EC
2 : 4
America SP
Page 1 of 6

Santacruzense

(Away)
04 Jul
America SP
3 : 0
Santacruzense
28 Jun
Santacruzense
0 : 0
America SP
20 Jun
Santacruzense
1 : 1
Sao Carlos
13 Jun
Mogi Mirim
1 : 0
Santacruzense
07 Jun
Independente SP
0 : 1
Santacruzense
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Independente SP 4
Tupa 0
Paulinense 3
Sao Carlos 0
Flamengo SP 2
Audax-SP 1
Matonense 1
Assisense 0
Itaqua 6
Paulinia FU 1
Maua FC 3
Uniao Mogi 5
Jose Bonifacio EC 4
Manthiqueira 1
America SP 3
Santacruzense 0
Quarter-finals
Independente SP 3
Paulinense 1
Flamengo SP 4
Matonense 1
Itaqua 5
Uniao Mogi 1
Jose Bonifacio EC 2
America SP 4
Semi-finals
Independente SP 2
Flamengo SP 1
Itaqua 1
America SP 4
Final
Independente SP 4
America SP 3