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America SP vs Santacruzense

Brazil Brazil

Paulista B
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Chico
53' Event
Aislan
90' Event
Dias R.

AI Match Summary

The Paulista B game between America SP and Santacruzense finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward America SP.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
America SP
6%
Draws
4%
Santacruzense
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: America SP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and America SP come out ahead of Santacruzense on wins alone.
  • Model gives America SP a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Paulista B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
America SP Clean Sheet 68%
Santacruzense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric America SP Santacruzense
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 8 7
Draws 12 7
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Paulista B
America SP vs Santacruzense
3:0
Jun 28, 2026 Paulista B
Santacruzense vs America SP
0:0
Apr 2, 2014 Paulista A3
America SP vs Santacruzense
1:3
Mar 8, 2012 Paulista A2
Santacruzense vs America SP
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

America SP Compare

Top Goalscorer Chico
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aislan
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Santacruzense Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

America SP 95 / 100
Santacruzense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
America SP Santacruzense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AME Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

America SP went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

America SP scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Santacruzense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

America SP VS Santacruzense
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Itaqua6
Paulinia FU1
Maua FC3
Uniao Mogi5
Independente SP4
Tupa0
Paulinense3
Sao Carlos0
Jose Bonifacio EC4
Manthiqueira1
America SP3
Santacruzense0
Flamengo SP2
Audax-SP1
Matonense1
Assisense0
Quarter-finals
Itaqua4
Uniao Mogi1
Independente SP1
Paulinense0
Jose Bonifacio EC0
America SP0
Flamengo SP1
Matonense0
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-