Sport Picks
Match Events
20'
20'
Sousa H.
37'
37'
Pinto L.
54'
54'
Lucas Paraiba
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
America SP in this Paulista B matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored America SP.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
65%
15%
20%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: America SP
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Tupa have won more games recently than America SP.
- Win probability leans America SP's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Paulista B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
America SP Clean Sheet 20%
Tupa Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | America SP | Tupa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 13 |
| Draws | 11 | 4 |
| Losses | 9 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.2 | 1.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.53 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.73 | 0.67 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 6, 2026 Paulista B
America SP vs Tupa
3:1
May 2, 2026 Paulista B
Tupa vs America SP
2:0
May 26, 2019 Paulista A4
America SP vs Tupa
0:1
Apr 12, 2019 Paulista A4
Tupa vs America SP
1:0
Mar 27, 2014 Paulista A3
Tupa vs America SP
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
America SP Compare
Top Goalscorer Pinto L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Yukawa S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86
Tupa Compare
Top Goalscorer Sousa H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.37
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
America SP 85 / 100
Tupa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
America SP Tupa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick America SP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
America SP's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Tupa let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Recent resilience: America SP stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
America SP VS Tupa
1.75 Goals Scored 0.71
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.71
88% Over 1.5 86%
38% Over 2.5 43%
25% Over 3.5 14%
Recent Form & Match History
America SP
(Home) 16 Aug
Independente SP
4 : 1 America SP
09 Aug
America SP
2 : 0 Independente SP
02 Aug
Itaqua
0 : 3 America SP
26 Jul
America SP
1 : 1 Itaqua
19 Jul
Jose Bonifacio EC
2 : 4 America SP
Page 1 of 6
09 Aug
America SP
2 : 0 Independente SP
26 Jul
America SP
1 : 1 Itaqua
11 Jul
America SP
0 : 0 Jose Bonifacio EC
04 Jul
America SP
3 : 0 Santacruzense
20 Jun
America SP
1 : 1 Jose Bonifacio EC
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Tupa
(Away) 05 Jul
Independente SP
2 : 0 Tupa
28 Jun
Tupa
0 : 2 Independente SP
20 Jun
Tupa
1 : 2 Santa Fe SP
14 Jun
Riopretano
0 : 1 Tupa
06 Jun
America SP
3 : 1 Tupa
Page 1 of 6
05 Jul
Independente SP
2 : 0 Tupa
14 Jun
Riopretano
0 : 1 Tupa
06 Jun
America SP
3 : 1 Tupa
24 May
Jose Bonifacio EC
2 : 1 Tupa
15 May
Santa Fe SP
1 : 3 Tupa
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jose Bonifacio EC | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 17:6 | 22 |
| 2 | America SP | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 13:7 | 19 |
| 3 | Assisense | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 17:15 | 14 |
| 4 | Tupa | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 5 | Riopretano | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9:16 | 7 |
| 6 | Santa Fe SP | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 10:20 | 6 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independente SP | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 37:7 | 24 |
| 2 | Matonense | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 28:10 | 22 |
| 3 | Sao Carlos | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 19:11 | 15 |
| 4 | Santacruzense | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19:13 | 14 |
| 5 | Mogi Mirim | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 6 | Catanduvense | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4:66 | 0 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo SP | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | 23 |
| 2 | Paulinense | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 9:16 | 15 |
| 3 | Audax-SP | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 15:9 | 13 |
| 4 | Paulinia FU | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11:14 | 10 |
| 5 | Votoraty SP | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12:19 | 7 |
| 6 | Guarulhos | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19:15 | 4 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Itaqua | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 21:6 | 25 |
| 2 | Maua FC | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 20:15 | 16 |
| 3 | Uniao Mogi | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 4 | Manthiqueira | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:17 | 14 |
| 5 | Mauaense | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 6 | Barcelona SP | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5:26 | 0 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
