Sport Picks

Stadium Background

American Samoa U19 vs Samoa U19

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Championship U19 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

77' Event
Smith H.
81' Event
Smith H.
90' Event
Smith H.

AI Match Summary

Samoa U19 in this OFC Championship U19 2018 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Samoa U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
American Samoa U19
15%
Draws
85%
Samoa U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Samoa U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Samoa U19 have won more games recently than American Samoa U19.
  • Win probability leans Samoa U19's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 68%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
American Samoa U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Samoa U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric American Samoa U19 Samoa U19
Matches Played 14 14
Wins 0 5
Draws 1 1
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 0.5 1.43
Goals Conceded 4.29 2.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.49 2.91
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 26, 2018 OFC Championship U19
American Samoa U19 vs Samoa U19
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

American Samoa U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.74

Samoa U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Smith H.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.65
Avg xA / game 1.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

American Samoa U19 10 / 100
Samoa U19 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
American Samoa U19 Samoa U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Samoa U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Samoa U19 conceded in 86% of 14 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Samoa U19 registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: American Samoa U19 scored in 29% of their last 14 outings.

Scoring Trends

American Samoa U19 VS Samoa U19
0.86 Goals Scored 1.25
4.57 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
86% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

American Samoa U19

(Home)
15 Apr
American Samoa U19
3 : 4
Tonga U19
12 Apr
American Samoa U19
2 : 3
Cook Islands U19
09 Apr
Vanuatu U19
4 : 0
American Samoa U19
13 Sept
American Samoa U19
0 : 4
Cook Islands U19
11 Sept
New Zealand U19
9 : 0
American Samoa U19
Page 1 of 3

Samoa U19

(Away)
12 Sept
Samoa U19
3 : 1
Vanuatu U19
07 Sept
Samoa U19
0 : 2
Solomon Islands U19
04 Sept
Papua New Guinea U19
4 : 2
Samoa U19
01 Sept
New Caledonia U19
4 : 2
Samoa U19
16 Jul
Tahiti U19
4 : 0
Samoa U19
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tonga U19 3 2 1 0 6:1 7
2 Samoa U19 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
3 Cook Islands U19 3 1 0 2 2:5 3
4 American Samoa U19 3 0 0 3 1:7 0
Promotion - OFC Championship U19 2018 (Main)