Sport Picks
American Samoa W vs Papua New Guinea W
Australia & Oceania
Pacific Games Women 
AI Match Summary
The Pacific Games Women game between American Samoa W and Papua New Guinea W finished 0-9, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Papua New Guinea W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Papua New Guinea W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Papua New Guinea W carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Papua New Guinea W's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Pacific Games Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 3 times recently and Papua New Guinea W have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
American Samoa W Clean Sheet 10%
Papua New Guinea W Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | American Samoa W | Papua New Guinea W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 17 | 29 |
| Wins | 4 | 17 |
| Draws | 1 | 4 |
| Losses | 12 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 3 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.86 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.43 | 3.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.86 | 0.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 11, 2026 World Cup Women
Papua New Guinea W vs American Samoa W
1:0
Feb 12, 2024 Olympic Games Women
American Samoa W vs Papua New Guinea W
0:9
Nov 17, 2023 Pacific Games Women
American Samoa W vs Papua New Guinea W
0:9
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
American Samoa W 10 / 100
Papua New Guinea W 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
American Samoa W Papua New Guinea W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick PAP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 6.33 goals.
American Samoa W found the back of the net in 35% of recent matches (17 games).
Papua New Guinea W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.
Recent resilience: American Samoa W stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
American Samoa W VS Papua New Guinea W
1.43 Goals Scored 3
0.86 Goals Conceded 0.75
57% Over 1.5 88%
57% Over 2.5 75%
14% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
American Samoa W
(Home) 11 Apr
Papua New Guinea W
1 : 0 American Samoa W
05 Mar
American Samoa W
0 : 3 New Zealand W
02 Mar
American Samoa W
1 : 0 Samoa W
27 Feb
Solomon Islands W
0 : 1 American Samoa W
21 Feb
Fiji W
2 : 1 American Samoa W
Page 1 of 4
05 Mar
American Samoa W
0 : 3 New Zealand W
02 Mar
American Samoa W
1 : 0 Samoa W
01 Dec
American Samoa W
4 : 0 Cook Islands W
12 Feb
American Samoa W
0 : 9 Papua New Guinea W
09 Feb
American Samoa W
1 : 7 Solomon Islands W
Page 1 of 2
Papua New Guinea W
(Away) 15 Apr
New Zealand W
1 : 0 Papua New Guinea W
11 Apr
Papua New Guinea W
1 : 0 American Samoa W
08 Mar
Papua New Guinea W
1 : 0 Fiji W
05 Mar
New Caledonia W
0 : 4 Papua New Guinea W
27 Feb
Papua New Guinea W
5 : 0 Vanuatu W
Page 1 of 6
15 Apr
New Zealand W
1 : 0 Papua New Guinea W
05 Mar
New Caledonia W
0 : 4 Papua New Guinea W
10 Jul
Cook Islands W
0 : 8 Papua New Guinea W
12 Feb
American Samoa W
0 : 9 Papua New Guinea W
23 Nov
New Caledonia W
2 : 2 Papua New Guinea W
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Papua New Guinea W | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14:2 | 7 |
| 2 | New Caledonia W | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11:4 | 7 |
| 3 | Cook Islands W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:8 | 3 |
| 4 | American Samoa W | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:16 | 0 |
Promotion - Pacific Games Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - Pacific Games Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - Pacific Games Women (5th-8th places)
Promotion - Pacific Games Women (5th-8th places)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Samoa W | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:3 | 6 |
| 2 | Tahiti W | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | 1 |
| 3 | Tonga W | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:6 | 1 |
Promotion - Pacific Games Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - Pacific Games Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - Pacific Games Women (5th-8th places)
Promotion - Pacific Games Women (5th-8th places)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fiji W | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:3 | 6 |
| 2 | Solomon Islands W | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | 3 |
| 3 | Vanuatu W | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | 0 |
Promotion - Pacific Games Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - Pacific Games Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - Pacific Games Women (5th-8th places)
Promotion - Pacific Games Women (5th-8th places)