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Americano vs America RJ

Brazil Brazil

Carioca 2
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Ricardinho
35' Event
Henrique Luiz
Own Goal
53' Event
Emerson Carioca

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-1. This leg finished 4-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Americano
30%
Draws
29%
America RJ
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Americano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to America RJ lately — more wins on the board than Americano.
  • Win probability leans Americano's way, sitting at 50%.
  • America RJ arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Americano, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Americano Clean Sheet 68%
America RJ Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Americano America RJ
Matches Played 28 44
Wins 14 15
Draws 8 14
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 1.29 1.02
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Carioca 2
Americano vs America RJ
4:1
Jul 11, 2026 Carioca 2
America RJ vs Americano
0:0
Apr 29, 2026 Carioca 2
America RJ vs Americano
0:2
Jul 12, 2025 Carioca 2
America RJ vs Americano
1:0
Jul 31, 2024 Carioca 2
Americano vs America RJ
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Americano Compare

Top Goalscorer Ricardinho
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pepeu
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

America RJ Compare

Top Goalscorer Emerson Carioca
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Americano 59 / 100
America RJ 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Americano America RJ

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Americano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Americano scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

America RJ's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 42 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Americano went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Americano VS America RJ
1.38 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Americano

(Home)
01 Aug
Americano
2 : 0
Resende
25 Jul
Resende
1 : 0
Americano
23 Jul
Portuguesa RJ
1 : 0
Americano
18 Jul
Americano
4 : 1
America RJ
15 Jul
Americano
1 : 1
Portuguesa RJ
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America RJ

(Away)
22 Jul
Nova Iguacu
1 : 1
America RJ
18 Jul
Americano
4 : 1
America RJ
15 Jul
America RJ
0 : 1
Nova Iguacu
11 Jul
America RJ
0 : 0
Americano
04 Jul
America RJ
5 : 0
Serrano FC
Page 1 of 9

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Americano 4
America RJ 1
Marica 1
Resende 2
Final
Americano 2
Resende 1