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Americano vs Macae

Brazil Brazil

Copa Rio
Americano Logo

Americano

2 - 1
FT
Macae Logo

Macae

Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
37' Event
Olegario M.
81' Event
Lekinho
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Americano
20%
Draws
29%
Macae
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Americano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Americano have won more games recently than Macae.
  • Win probability leans Americano's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Americano have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Americano, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Americano Clean Sheet 68%
Macae Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Americano Macae
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 9
Draws 8 6
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 1.31 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.72 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 23, 2026 Copa Rio
Americano vs Macae
2:1
Jun 17, 2026 Copa Rio
Macae vs Americano
0:0
May 20, 2023 Carioca 2
Macae vs Americano
0:2
May 21, 2022 Carioca 2
Americano vs Macae
3:1
Jul 28, 2021 Carioca 2
Macae vs Americano
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Americano Compare

Top Goalscorer Olegario M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lekinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Macae Compare

Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.33

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Americano 68 / 100
Macae 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Americano Macae

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Americano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Americano's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Macae conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Americano went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Americano VS Macae
1.63 Goals Scored 0.57
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.71
75% Over 1.5 43%
50% Over 2.5 29%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Americano

(Home)
01 Aug
Americano
2 : 0
Resende
25 Jul
Resende
1 : 0
Americano
23 Jul
Portuguesa RJ
1 : 0
Americano
18 Jul
Americano
4 : 1
America RJ
15 Jul
Americano
1 : 1
Portuguesa RJ
Page 1 of 6

Macae

(Away)
26 Sept
Macae
0 : 0
Artsul
19 Sept
Campo Grande
2 : 1
Macae
12 Sept
Macae
2 : 0
Audax RJ
05 Sept
Goytacaz
1 : 0
Macae
23 Jun
Americano
2 : 1
Macae
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Americano 2
Macae 1
TBD -
Portuguesa RJ -
Cabofriense 1
Bonsucesso 3
TBD -
Madureira -
Perolas Negras 10
Santa Cruz RJ 1
TBD -
Marica -
CEAC/Araruama 2
Sao Cristovao 1
TBD -
Boavista -
Olaria 6
Duque de Caxias 0
TBD -
Bangu -
America RJ -
Goytacaz -
TBD -
Nova Iguacu -
Sao Goncalo 3
Serrano FC 2
TBD -
Volta Redonda -
Resende 11
Belford Roxo 2
TBD -
Sampaio Correa FE -
1/8-finals
Americano 1
Portuguesa RJ 2
Bonsucesso 3
Madureira 4
Perolas Negras 0
Marica 3
CEAC/Araruama 0
Boavista 5
Olaria 3
Bangu 1
America RJ 1
Nova Iguacu 2
Sao Goncalo 2
Volta Redonda 1
Resende 0
Sampaio Correa FE 3
Quarter-finals
Portuguesa RJ 1
Madureira 2
Marica 1
Boavista 3
Olaria 0
Nova Iguacu 1
Sao Goncalo 0
Sampaio Correa FE 1
Semi-finals
Madureira 0
Boavista 2
Nova Iguacu 3
Sampaio Correa FE 2
Final
Boavista 3
Nova Iguacu 1
Madureira 1
Sampaio Correa FE 3