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Americano vs Resende Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Carioca 2
Sat, Aug 1, 2026
2 - 0
05:45 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

80'
da Silva Dias D.
90' Event
Joao Maranhao

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. The second leg ended 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Americano
20%
Draws
29%
Resende
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Americano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Resende haven't matched Americano's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Americano's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Americano have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Americano, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Americano Clean Sheet 68%
Resende Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Americano Resende
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 14 12
Draws 8 9
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.29 1.26
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Carioca 2
Americano vs Resende
2:0
Jul 25, 2026 Carioca 2
Resende vs Americano
1:0
Jul 4, 2026 Carioca 2
Resende vs Americano
1:2
Jun 4, 2025 Carioca 2
Resende vs Americano
0:1
May 19, 2024 Carioca 2
Resende vs Americano
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Americano Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao Maranhao
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Resende Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Americano 86 / 100
Resende 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Americano Resende

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Americano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Americano found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Resende conceded in 61% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Americano has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Americano VS Resende
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Americano

(Home)
01 Aug
Americano
2 : 0
Resende
25 Jul
Resende
1 : 0
Americano
23 Jul
Portuguesa RJ
1 : 0
Americano
18 Jul
Americano
4 : 1
America RJ
15 Jul
Americano
1 : 1
Portuguesa RJ
Page 1 of 6

Resende

(Away)
01 Aug
Americano
2 : 0
Resende
25 Jul
Resende
1 : 0
Americano
22 Jul
Sampaio Correa FE
2 : 0
Resende
18 Jul
Marica
1 : 1
Resende
15 Jul
Resende
0 : 1
Sampaio Correa FE
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Americano 4
America RJ 1
Marica 1
Resende 2
Final
Americano 2
Resende 1