Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Paulista A4 2012 game between Americo EC and Novorizontino finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
18%
35%
47%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Novorizontino
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Novorizontino come out ahead of Americo EC on wins alone.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on Novorizontino taking it.
- Regular Paulista A4 2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Americo EC Clean Sheet 17%
Novorizontino Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Americo EC | Novorizontino |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 35 |
| Wins | 9 | 16 |
| Draws | 12 | 11 |
| Losses | 12 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.42 | 1.46 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.04 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 2, 2012 Paulista A4
Novorizontino vs Americo EC
1:0
Aug 12, 2012 Paulista A4
Americo EC vs Novorizontino
0:0
Jul 29, 2012 Paulista A4
Americo EC vs Novorizontino
0:0
Jul 22, 2012 Paulista A4
Novorizontino vs Americo EC
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Americo EC 20 / 100
Novorizontino 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Americo EC Novorizontino
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Novorizontino Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Americo EC scored in 79% of their last 33 outings.
Novorizontino let in goals in 63% of their last 35 matches.
Solid form: Americo EC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
H2H data points to 0.50 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
- VS Novorizontino
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Americo EC
(Home) 18 Aug
Americo EC
2 : 2 Tupa
14 Aug
Cotia
3 : 2 Americo EC
10 Aug
Lemense
1 : 1 Americo EC
03 Aug
Americo EC
1 : 3 Lemense
31 Jul
Americo EC
1 : 1 Cotia
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18 Aug
Americo EC
2 : 2 Tupa
03 Aug
Americo EC
1 : 3 Lemense
31 Jul
Americo EC
1 : 1 Cotia
21 Jul
Americo EC
3 : 0 CA Paulistinha
07 Jul
Americo EC
1 : 1 Pirassununguense
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Novorizontino
(Away) 25 Sept
Novorizontino
0 : 0 Sao Bernardo
18 Sept
Ceara
2 : 1 Novorizontino
13 Sept
Novorizontino
1 : 1 Cuiaba
09 Sept
Botafogo SP
1 : 3 Novorizontino
05 Sept
Novorizontino
3 : 1 Avai
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18 Sept
Ceara
2 : 1 Novorizontino
09 Sept
Botafogo SP
1 : 3 Novorizontino
24 Aug
Athletic Club
1 : 4 Novorizontino
16 Aug
CRB
0 : 0 Novorizontino
26 Jul
Londrina
1 : 4 Novorizontino
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SC Barueri | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:7 | 9 |
| 2 | Votuporanguense | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:6 | 9 |
| 3 | Nacional SP | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:9 | 8 |
| 4 | SKA Brasil | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:7 | 5 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2012 (Fourth stage)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jacarei FC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 11 |
| 2 | Fernandopolis | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:9 | 8 |
| 3 | Mauaense | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4:5 | 6 |
| 4 | Sumare | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9:10 | 6 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2012 (Fourth stage)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Novorizontino | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8:1 | 14 |
| 2 | Jose Bonifacio EC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 11 |
| 3 | Americo EC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:7 | 4 |
| 4 | Guaruja | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | 4 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2012 (Fourth stage)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sao Vicente | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 11 |
| 2 | Tupa | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:6 | 9 |
| 3 | Olimpia FC | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5:3 | 9 |
| 4 | Jaboticabal Atletico | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:11 | 3 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2012 (Fourth stage)
