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Amical Saint-Prex vs Bellinzona - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Switzerland Switzerland

Promotion League
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Billet L.

AI Match Summary

Amical Saint-Prex in this Promotion League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Amical Saint-Prex.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Amical Saint-Prex
20%
Draws
29%
Bellinzona
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Amical Saint-Prex

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Amical Saint-Prex have won more games recently than Bellinzona.
  • Amical Saint-Prex are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Amical Saint-Prex Clean Sheet 20%
Bellinzona Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Amical Saint-Prex Bellinzona
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 15 4
Draws 4 6
Losses 9 19
Goals Scored 2.11 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.82 2.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Promotion League
Amical Saint-Prex vs Bellinzona
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Amical Saint-Prex Compare

Top Goalscorer Billet L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Bellinzona Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Amical Saint-Prex 85 / 100
Bellinzona 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Amical Saint-Prex Bellinzona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Amical Saint-Prex Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Amical Saint-Prex found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Bellinzona has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Amical Saint-Prex went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Bellinzona's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Amical Saint-Prex VS Bellinzona
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Amical Saint-Prex

(Home)
03 Oct
Amical Saint-Prex
1 : 2
Biel
26 Sept
Luzern II
2 : 3
Amical Saint-Prex
19 Sept
Amical Saint-Prex
2 : 2
Young Boys II
10 Sept
Bulle
3 : 1
Amical Saint-Prex
05 Sept
Amical Saint-Prex
1 : 0
Lugano II
Page 1 of 6

Bellinzona

(Away)
04 Oct
Bellinzona
0 : 4
Zurich II
27 Sept
Bellinzona
2 : 2
Breitenrain
19 Sept
Grand-Saconnex
3 : 0
Bellinzona
13 Sept
Bellinzona
2 : 1
FC Kreuzlingen
05 Sept
Paradiso
4 : 0
Bellinzona
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Biel 10 8 1 1 23:10 25
2 Schaffhausen 10 7 1 2 21:13 22
3 Bulle 10 6 2 2 22:14 20
4 Paradiso 10 6 1 3 20:9 19
5 Cham 10 6 1 3 16:13 19
6 Grand-Saconnex 10 6 0 4 19:14 18
7 Young Fellows Juventus 10 5 1 4 14:14 16
8 Basel II 10 5 0 5 19:19 15
9 Zurich II 10 4 2 4 18:18 14
10 Breitenrain 10 4 2 4 13:15 14
11 Amical Saint-Prex 10 4 1 5 14:22 13
12 FC Kreuzlingen 10 3 3 4 13:13 12
13 Bruhl SG 10 3 2 5 12:15 11
14 Young Boys II 10 3 2 5 20:27 11
15 Lugano II 10 3 0 7 15:22 9
16 Bavois 10 2 2 6 10:12 8
17 Luzern II 10 2 1 7 15:19 7
18 Bellinzona 10 1 2 7 7:22 5
Promotion - Challenge League 2027/2028 (Main)