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Stadium Background

Amiens SC vs Pau

France France

Ligue 2 2025/2026 Stade de la Licorne, Amiens
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Dong K.
Assist: Salles E.
29'
Sadik O.
34'
Bakayoko S.

AI Match Summary

Pau in this Ligue 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Amiens SC
6%
Draws
4%
Pau
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Amiens SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Amiens SC haven't matched Pau's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Amiens SC taking it.
  • Regular Ligue 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Amiens SC Clean Sheet 17%
Pau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Amiens SC Pau
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 7 9
Draws 5 4
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.25 1
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2026 Ligue 2
Amiens SC vs Pau
0:1
Dec 12, 2025 Ligue 2
Pau vs Amiens SC
1:2
May 2, 2025 Ligue 2
Amiens SC vs Pau
4:2
Oct 25, 2024 Ligue 2
Pau vs Amiens SC
0:2
Mar 30, 2024 Ligue 2
Amiens SC vs Pau
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Amiens SC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Pau Compare

Top Goalscorer Dong K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Amiens SC 84 / 100
Pau 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Amiens SC Pau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AMI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Amiens SC scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Pau's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 27 matches.

Recent resilience: Amiens SC stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Amiens SC VS Pau
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Amiens SC

(Home)
31 Jul
Amiens SC
3 : 1
Red Star
31 Jul
Amiens SC
2 : 0
Chambly
25 Jul
Kortrijk
1 : 1
Amiens SC
24 Jul
Amiens SC
0 : 1
Boulogne
22 Jul
Amiens SC
1 : 1
Reims
Page 1 of 6

Pau

(Away)
01 Aug
Pau
1 : 2
Real Union
25 Jul
Real Sociedad B
4 : 0
Pau
21 Jul
Espanyol
4 : 0
Pau
17 Jul
Pau
3 : 0
Tarbes
11 Jul
Real Sociedad
0 : 1
Pau
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Troyes34207760:3367
2Le Mans341614450:3162
3St Etienne341861059:3860
4Red Star341610845:3758
5Rodez341513645:3958
6Reims341414653:3556
7Annecy341571249:3952
8Montpellier341491141:3151
9Pau341291348:6245
10Dunkerque3411101353:4543
11Guingamp3410101442:4940
12Grenoble348151133:3939
13Clermont349101538:4437
14Nancy349101535:5237
15Boulogne34991634:4936
16Laval346141430:4832
17Bastia345131623:3928
18Amiens SC34662237:6524
19AC Ajaccio00000:00
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 (Main)