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Amiens SC vs Villefranche - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 3 Stade de la Licorne, Amiens
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Gassama D.
27'
Boissier R.
46'
Sub
Mbondi C. In: Colin M.
Out: Mbondi C.

AI Match Summary

Amiens SC in this Ligue 3 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Amiens SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Amiens SC
30%
Draws
6%
Villefranche
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Amiens SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Amiens SC have won more games recently than Villefranche.
  • Model gives Amiens SC a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ligue 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Amiens SC Clean Sheet 20%
Villefranche Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Amiens SC Villefranche
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 8 7
Draws 6 6
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.26 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Ligue 3
Amiens SC vs Villefranche
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Amiens SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Colin M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Villefranche Compare

Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Amiens SC 85 / 100
Villefranche 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Amiens SC Villefranche

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Amiens SC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Amiens SC went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Amiens SC found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (27 games).

Villefranche has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Amiens SC VS Villefranche
1 Goals Scored 0.88
0.25 Goals Conceded 2.38
38% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Amiens SC

(Home)
03 Oct
Amiens SC
3 : 0
Villefranche
26 Sept
Quevilly
1 : 1
Amiens SC
19 Sept
Amiens SC
2 : 0
Orleans
10 Sept
Cannes
0 : 0
Amiens SC
05 Sept
Bastia
0 : 3
Amiens SC
Page 1 of 6

Villefranche

(Away)
03 Oct
Amiens SC
3 : 0
Villefranche
26 Sept
Villefranche
1 : 2
Versailles
19 Sept
Le Puy-en-Velay
4 : 1
Villefranche
12 Sept
Villefranche
0 : 0
La Roche Vendee
05 Sept
Fleury 91
6 : 1
Villefranche
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Roche Vendee 9 6 3 0 15:8 21
2 Rouen 9 6 2 1 17:5 20
3 Concarneau 9 4 4 1 12:8 16
4 Versailles 9 5 1 3 13:12 16
5 Amiens SC 9 4 3 2 12:3 15
6 Cannes 9 3 6 0 11:4 15
7 Caen 9 5 0 4 17:12 15
8 Le Puy-en-Velay 9 4 1 4 11:9 13
9 Thionville 9 3 3 3 14:14 12
10 Fleury 91 9 3 3 3 15:12 12
11 Paris 13 Atletico 9 3 3 3 7:9 12
12 Bastia 9 3 2 4 7:11 11
13 Quevilly 9 2 4 3 8:12 10
14 Orleans 9 2 3 4 7:11 9
15 Valenciennes 9 2 2 5 9:14 8
16 Aubagne FC 9 2 1 6 6:12 7
17 Bourg Peronnas 9 1 2 6 5:15 5
18 Villefranche 9 1 1 7 7:22 4
Promotion - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Relegation)