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Amkal Moscow vs Kvant Obninsk Prediction & H2H Stats

Russia Russia

Russian Cup 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Paradeev A.
19' Event
Alekseev G.
39' Event
Demidov A.

AI Match Summary

Amkal Moscow in this Russian Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 3-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Amkal Moscow
20%
Draws
15%
Kvant Obninsk
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Amkal Moscow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Amkal Moscow have won more games recently than Kvant Obninsk.
  • Win probability leans Amkal Moscow's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Amkal Moscow have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Amkal Moscow, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Amkal Moscow Clean Sheet 20%
Kvant Obninsk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Amkal Moscow Kvant Obninsk
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 1
Draws 3 5
Losses 12 24
Goals Scored 1.8 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.37 2.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.98 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2025 Russian Cup
Amkal Moscow vs Kvant Obninsk
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Amkal Moscow Compare

Top Goalscorer Paradeev A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alekseev G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.52
Avg xA / game 0.99

Kvant Obninsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Demidov A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Amkal Moscow 40 / 100
Kvant Obninsk 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Amkal Moscow Kvant Obninsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Amkal Moscow Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Kvant Obninsk conceded in 100% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Amkal Moscow scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Amkal Moscow stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Kvant Obninsk
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 2.75
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Amkal Moscow

(Home)
28 Mar
Krasnodar
4 : 0
Amkal Moscow
25 Sept
Amkal Moscow
1 : 2
Yenisey
11 Sept
Amkal Moscow
2 : 1
Salyut-Belgorod
19 Aug
Kaluga
0 : 1
Amkal Moscow
05 Aug
Amkal Moscow
3 : 1
Kvant Obninsk
Page 1 of 6

Kvant Obninsk

(Away)
03 Oct
Kvant Obninsk
2 : 2
FK Shumbrat Saransk
26 Sept
Spartak Tambov
4 : 0
Kvant Obninsk
21 Sept
Kvant Obninsk
1 : 1
Kursk
13 Sept
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
1 : 0
Kvant Obninsk
05 Sept
Kvant Obninsk
1 : 3
Ryazan
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
SKA Khabarovsk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rodina Moscow -
Ulan Ude 0
FC Irkutsk 8
TBD -
Sibir Novosibirsk -
Anri Vladivostok 0
KDV Tomsk 4
TBD -
Dynamo Vladivostok -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chelyabinsk -
Kamaz -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
S. Kostroma -
Znamya Truda -
TBD -
TBD -
Dynamo Barnaul -
Irtysh Omsk -
TBD -
Temp Barnaul 3
Uralets Nizhny Tagil 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye -
Dynamo Vologda -
TBD -
TBD -
Dynamo Petersburg -
Tekstilshtik -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Tver -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fakel Voronezh -
Dynamo Stavropol -
TBD -
TBD -
Angust Nazran -
Kuban -
TBD -
FC PSK Dinskoy rayon 2
Maykop 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ural -
Tyumen -
TBD -
Nosta 2
Ilpar FC 3
Torpedo Miass -
TBD -
TBD -
Volna Nizhegorodskaya -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal Tula -
Broke Boys 3
FC Oryol 2
TBD -
Kursk -
D. Bryansk -
TBD -
TBD -
Saturn Ramenskoye -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Saratov -
Astrakhan -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Pobeda -
Legion Makhachkala -
TBD -
TBD -
Alania Vladikavkaz -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chernomorets Novorossijsk -
Mashuk -
TBD -
TBD -
Spartak Nalchik -
Kuban Kholding -
TBD -
TBD -
Nart Cherkessk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ulyanovsk -
Spartak Tambov -
TBD -
TBD -
M. Lipetsk -
FC Murom -
TBD -
FK Shumbrat Saransk 1
Kristall MEZ Borisoglebsk 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Torpedo Moscow -
Kosmos -
TBD -
2Drots 1
Vladimir 0
Veles Moscow -
TBD -
Krasnoye Znamya 3
FK Kolomna 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
R. Volgograd -
Kaluga -
TBD -
Amkal Moscow 3
Kvant Obninsk 1
Salyut-Belgorod -
TBD -
TBD -
Ryazan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Yenisey -
Kirov -
TBD -
FK Fankom -
Sokol Kazan -
Khimik -
TBD -
TBD -
Amkar -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ufa -
Leningradets -
TBD -
Kristall 1
Luki-Energiya 3
RWChallenge 1
Zvezda St Peterburg 4
SSh Leningradets 0
Cherepovets 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Shinnik Yaroslavl -
Penza -
TBD -
TBD -
Strogino Moscow -
FC Volgar-Astrakhan -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Chertanovo Moscow -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Neftekhimik -
1/16-finals
SKA Khabarovsk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rodina Moscow -
FC Irkutsk 2
Sibir Novosibirsk 0
KDV Tomsk 3
Dynamo Vladivostok 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chelyabinsk -
Kamaz -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
S. Kostroma -
Znamya Truda 2
Dynamo Barnaul 1
Irtysh Omsk 0
Temp Barnaul 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye -
Dynamo Vologda 1
Dynamo Petersburg 0
Tekstilshtik 1
FK Tver 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fakel Voronezh -
Dynamo Stavropol 2
Angust Nazran 1
Kuban 1
FC PSK Dinskoy rayon 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ural -
Tyumen 4
Ilpar FC 1
Torpedo Miass 0
Volna Nizhegorodskaya 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal Tula -
Broke Boys 2
Kursk 1
D. Bryansk 0
Saturn Ramenskoye 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Saratov -
Astrakhan 1
FK Pobeda 0
Legion Makhachkala 3
Alania Vladikavkaz 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chernomorets Novorossijsk -
Mashuk 1
Spartak Nalchik 0
Kuban Kholding 1
Nart Cherkessk 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ulyanovsk -
Spartak Tambov 2
M. Lipetsk 1
FC Murom 2
Kristall MEZ Borisoglebsk 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Torpedo Moscow -
Kosmos 1
2Drots 0
Veles Moscow 2
Krasnoye Znamya 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
R. Volgograd -
Kaluga 0
Amkal Moscow 1
Salyut-Belgorod 3
Ryazan 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Yenisey -
Kirov 1
FK Fankom 2
Khimik 2
Amkar 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ufa -
Leningradets 0
Luki-Energiya 2
Zvezda St Peterburg 1
Cherepovets 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Shinnik Yaroslavl -
Penza 1
Strogino Moscow 0
FC Volgar-Astrakhan 2
FC Chertanovo Moscow 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Neftekhimik -
1/8-finals
SKA Khabarovsk -
TBD -
TBD -
Rodina Moscow -
FC Irkutsk 3
KDV Tomsk 0
TBD -
Chelyabinsk -
Kamaz -
TBD -
TBD -
S. Kostroma -
Znamya Truda 1
Temp Barnaul 0
TBD -
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye -
Dynamo Vologda 1
Tekstilshtik 2
TBD -
Fakel Voronezh -
Dynamo Stavropol 1
FC PSK Dinskoy rayon 2
TBD -
Ural -
Tyumen 1
Volna Nizhegorodskaya 2
TBD -
Arsenal Tula -
Broke Boys 2
Saturn Ramenskoye 0
TBD -
Saratov -
Astrakhan 5
Legion Makhachkala 2
TBD -
Chernomorets Novorossijsk -
Mashuk 0
Kuban Kholding 3
TBD -
Ulyanovsk -
Spartak Tambov 0
Kristall MEZ Borisoglebsk 1
TBD -
Torpedo Moscow -
Kosmos 1
Veles Moscow 4
TBD -
R. Volgograd -
Amkal Moscow 2
Salyut-Belgorod 1
TBD -
Yenisey -
FK Fankom 1
Khimik 0
TBD -
Ufa -
Luki-Energiya 2
Cherepovets 4
TBD -
Shinnik Yaroslavl -
Penza 0
FC Volgar-Astrakhan 1
TBD -
Neftekhimik -
Quarter-finals
SKA Khabarovsk 0
Rodina Moscow 3
FC Irkutsk 2
Chelyabinsk 3
Kamaz 1
S. Kostroma 0
Znamya Truda 0
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 1
Tekstilshtik 1
Fakel Voronezh 2
FC PSK Dinskoy rayon 1
Ural 2
Volna Nizhegorodskaya 0
Arsenal Tula 3
Broke Boys 0
Saratov 2
Astrakhan 0
Chernomorets Novorossijsk 2
Kuban Kholding 3
Ulyanovsk 2
Kristall MEZ Borisoglebsk 1
Torpedo Moscow 3
Veles Moscow 2
R. Volgograd 1
Amkal Moscow 1
Yenisey 2
FK Fankom 0
Ufa 3
Cherepovets 1
Shinnik Yaroslavl 4
FC Volgar-Astrakhan 1
Neftekhimik 2
Semi-finals
Rodina Moscow 0
Chelyabinsk 1
Kamaz 3
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 1
Fakel Voronezh 1
Ural 0
Arsenal Tula 1
Saratov 0
Chernomorets Novorossijsk 1
Kuban Kholding 2
Torpedo Moscow 3
Veles Moscow 0
Yenisey 1
Ufa 2
Shinnik Yaroslavl 1
Neftekhimik 2
Final
Chelyabinsk 0
Kamaz 1
Fakel Voronezh 2
Arsenal Tula 3
Kuban Kholding 1
Torpedo Moscow 2
Ufa 1
Neftekhimik 2