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Amkar vs Tyumen

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FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2025/2026 Zvezda Stadium
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AI Match Summary

Amkar play Tyumen in the FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Amkar averaged 1.77 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. Tyumen averaged 1.45 goals scored and 1.55 conceded. In past meetings, Amkar won 1, Tyumen won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 24, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Amkar and 1.44 for Tyumen. This points to a Amkar double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Amkar
26%
Draws
31%
Tyumen
Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Amkar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Amkar picked up more points recently compared to Tyumen.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Amkar Clean Sheet 16%
Tyumen Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Amkar Tyumen
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 8
Draws 7 9
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.77 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Tyumen vs Amkar
0:0
Apr 5, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Amkar vs Tyumen
2:0
Oct 29, 2024 Russian Cup
Tyumen vs Amkar
3:0
May 21, 2023 FNL 2 - Group 4
Amkar vs Tyumen
0:2
Apr 29, 2023 FNL 2 - Group 4
Amkar vs Tyumen
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Amkar Compare

Top Goalscorer Dolgov A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Popov K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Tyumen Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Amkar 42 / 100
Tyumen 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Amkar Tyumen

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Amkar or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23%
2.86
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.3%
2.08
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Amkar attacking → ← attacking Tyumen

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Amkar scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Tyumen let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Amkar went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Tyumen lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

52 Points in last 5 33
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1D. Bryansk18113423:1936
2Kirov1889131:1633
3Alania Vladikavkaz1875623:2226
4Dynamo Vladivostok1866621:2024
5Amkar1866630:2624
6Dynamo Moscow 21857629:3622
7Zenit St Petersburg 21864833:3722
8Tyumen1855825:2520
9Dynamo Stavropol18531020:2618
10Kuban1846817:2518