Sport Picks

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Ammanford Town vs Connahs Q.

Wales Wales

Cymru Premier Ammanford Recreation Ground, Ammanford
Our Tip

Match Events

31'
Sub
John A. In: Shirt C.
Out: John A.
37'
Evans J.
44' Event
West C.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Connahs Q. in this Cymru Premier matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Connahs Q..

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Ammanford Town
15%
Draws
64%
Connahs Q.
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Connahs Q.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Connahs Q. have won more games recently than Ammanford Town.
  • Connahs Q. are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Cymru Premier form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Ammanford Town Clean Sheet 10%
Connahs Q. Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ammanford Town Connahs Q.
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 14
Draws 6 8
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.4 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.67 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Cymru Premier
Ammanford Town vs Connahs Q.
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ammanford Town Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Connahs Q. Compare

Top Goalscorer Franklin H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ammanford Town 10 / 100
Connahs Q. 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ammanford Town Connahs Q.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Connahs Q. Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:6
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ammanford Town scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Connahs Q. has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Ammanford Town has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ammanford Town VS Connahs Q.
0.5 Goals Scored 2.38
3.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ammanford Town

(Home)
03 Oct
Ammanford Town
2 : 1
Holywell Town FC
26 Sept
Flint Town
3 : 0
Ammanford Town
18 Sept
Ammanford Town
1 : 5
Penybont
15 Sept
Barry Town
2 : 2
Ammanford Town
11 Sept
Ammanford Town
0 : 5
Caernarfon
Page 1 of 6

Connahs Q.

(Away)
03 Oct
Connahs Q.
1 : 0
Penybont
26 Sept
Barry Town
1 : 4
Connahs Q.
18 Sept
Connahs Q.
1 : 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University
15 Sept
Connahs Q.
3 : 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC
12 Sept
Colwyn Bay
2 : 1
Connahs Q.
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 TNS 12 11 1 0 38:5 34
2 Connahs Q. 12 9 1 2 28:8 28
3 Penybont 12 8 3 1 22:10 27
4 Barry Town 12 8 1 3 27:20 25
5 Caernarfon 12 7 2 3 35:14 23
6 Colwyn Bay 12 7 1 4 21:15 22
7 Cardiff Metropolitan University 12 6 3 3 23:13 21
8 Airbus UK Broughton FC 12 6 0 6 21:17 18
9 Cambrian United 12 5 3 4 21:32 18
10 Llandudno FC 12 5 1 6 21:19 16
11 Briton Ferry 12 3 3 6 11:20 12
12 Haverfordwest 12 3 1 8 7:17 10
13 Flint Town 12 2 2 8 12:24 8
14 Ammanford Town 12 1 3 8 9:32 6
15 Trefelin 12 0 3 9 5:30 3
16 Holywell Town FC 12 0 2 10 13:38 2
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)