Sport Picks
Match Events
44'
44'
Cardoso D.
Assist: Nazarit J.
46'
46'
Sub
Marques F. In: Diop A.
Out: Marques F.
46'
46'
Sub
Nazarit J. In: Cunha A.
Out: Nazarit J.
AI Match Summary
The Liga 3 2025/2026 game between Amora and 1º Dezembro finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Amora come out ahead of 1º Dezembro on wins alone.
- Model gives Amora a 33% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Amora Clean Sheet 68%
1º Dezembro Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Amora | 1º Dezembro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 6 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 15 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.45 | 1.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
1º Dezembro vs Amora
1:1
Apr 19, 2026 Liga 3
1º Dezembro vs Amora
0:1
Mar 14, 2026 Liga 3
Amora vs 1º Dezembro
0:4
Dec 6, 2025 Liga 3
Amora vs 1º Dezembro
1:1
Aug 22, 2025 Liga 3
1º Dezembro vs Amora
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Amora Compare
Top Goalscorer Oliveira J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
1º Dezembro Compare
Top Goalscorer Cardoso D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Amora 68 / 100
1º Dezembro 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Amora 1º Dezembro
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Amora Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: 1º Dezembro conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.
Amora found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).
These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.
Amora went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Amora VS 1º Dezembro
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Amora
(Home) 13 Sept
1º Dezembro
1 : 1 Amora
06 Sept
Amora
0 : 1 Real SC
23 Aug
Vitoria Setubal
1 : 3 Amora
01 May
Covilha
1 : 1 Amora
25 Apr
Amora
1 : 2 Lusitano GC
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Amora
0 : 1 Real SC
25 Apr
Amora
1 : 2 Lusitano GC
12 Apr
Amora
1 : 2 Caldas SC
14 Mar
Amora
0 : 4 1º Dezembro
07 Mar
Amora
0 : 1 Atletico CP
Page 1 of 3
1º Dezembro
(Away) 13 Sept
1º Dezembro
1 : 1 Amora
06 Sept
Serpa
1 : 1 1º Dezembro
30 Aug
1º Dezembro
0 : 1 Real SC
16 Aug
Imortal
5 : 0 1º Dezembro
02 May
1º Dezembro
2 : 1 Caldas SC
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Serpa
1 : 1 1º Dezembro
16 Aug
Imortal
5 : 0 1º Dezembro
25 Apr
Atletico CP
0 : 1 1º Dezembro
11 Apr
Lusitano GC
2 : 1 1º Dezembro
14 Mar
Amora
0 : 4 1º Dezembro
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20:16 | 29 |
| 2 | Amarante FC | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 19:17 | 29 |
| 3 | Trofense | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 23:15 | 28 |
| 4 | Varzim | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 26:17 | 28 |
| 5 | Paredes | 18 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 22:12 | 27 |
| 6 | Braga B | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 16:17 | 25 |
| 7 | AD Fafe | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 23:21 | 24 |
| 8 | AD Marco 09 | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 15:22 | 19 |
| 9 | Sao Joao de Ver | 18 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 11:26 | 14 |
| 10 | Sanjoanense | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 20:32 | 13 |
Promotion - Liga 3 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CF Os Belenenses | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 27:16 | 38 |
| 2 | Mafra | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 28:19 | 34 |
| 3 | Academica | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 29:18 | 28 |
| 4 | Santarem | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 15:14 | 25 |
| 5 | Atletico CP | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 16:17 | 22 |
| 6 | Lusitano GC | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 19:19 | 22 |
| 7 | Amora | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 19:22 | 21 |
| 8 | Caldas SC | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 17:23 | 21 |
| 9 | 1º Dezembro | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 13:21 | 17 |
| 10 | Covilha | 18 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 10:24 | 14 |
Promotion - Liga 3 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)
