Sport Picks
Match Events
58'
58'
Gabriel E.
87'
87'
Monteiro Y.
AI Match Summary
The Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2024/2025 game between Amora and Moura AC finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Amora
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Amora carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Amora have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Amora Clean Sheet 68%
Moura AC Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Amora | Moura AC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 37 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 15 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.27 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 1.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.92 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 13, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Moura AC vs Amora
1:2
Dec 22, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Amora vs Moura AC
1:1
Feb 22, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Moura AC vs Amora
1:3
Nov 7, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Amora vs Moura AC
1:0
Feb 10, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Moura AC vs Amora
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Amora Compare
Top Goalscorer Monteiro Y.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46
Moura AC Compare
Top Goalscorer Gabriel E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Amora 41 / 100
Moura AC 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Amora Moura AC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Amora Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Moura AC has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.
Amora scored in 73% of their last 37 games.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Amora went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Amora VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Amora
(Home) 13 Sept
1º Dezembro
1 : 1 Amora
06 Sept
Amora
0 : 1 Real SC
23 Aug
Vitoria Setubal
1 : 3 Amora
01 May
Covilha
1 : 1 Amora
25 Apr
Amora
1 : 2 Lusitano GC
Page 1 of 8
06 Sept
Amora
0 : 1 Real SC
25 Apr
Amora
1 : 2 Lusitano GC
12 Apr
Amora
1 : 2 Caldas SC
14 Mar
Amora
0 : 4 1º Dezembro
07 Mar
Amora
0 : 1 Atletico CP
Page 1 of 4
Moura AC
(Away) 13 Apr
Moura AC
1 : 2 Amora
06 Apr
Lagoa
0 : 1 Moura AC
29 Mar
Moura AC
1 : 1 Estrela da Amadora B
16 Mar
Moura AC
1 : 2 Sintrense
09 Mar
Moura AC
0 : 1 Louletano
Page 1 of 6
06 Apr
Lagoa
0 : 1 Moura AC
02 Mar
Industria
2 : 3 Moura AC
16 Feb
Estrela Vendas Novas
0 : 0 Moura AC
02 Feb
Operario
4 : 2 Moura AC
19 Jan
Serpa
2 : 0 Moura AC
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lusitano GC | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 57:14 | 58 |
| 2 | Amora | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 41:19 | 57 |
| 3 | Sintrense | 26 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 39:26 | 52 |
| 4 | Moncarapachense | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 39:19 | 51 |
| 5 | Louletano | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 44:20 | 50 |
| 6 | Serpa | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 42:27 | 45 |
| 7 | Estrela da Amadora B | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 35:31 | 30 |
| 8 | Lagoa | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26:35 | 30 |
| 9 | Industria | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 35:42 | 29 |
| 10 | Fabril do Barreiro | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 21:32 | 27 |
| 11 | Moura AC | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 27:50 | 26 |
| 12 | Operario | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 22:43 | 23 |
| 13 | FC Barreirense | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 31:47 | 22 |
| 14 | Estrela Vendas Novas | 26 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 12:66 | 5 |
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)
