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Amorebieta vs Baskonia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 4 2008/2009 Campo Municipal de Urritxe, Amorebieta-Etxano
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Baskonia in this Tercera Division - Group 4 2008/2009 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Baskonia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Amorebieta
30%
Draws
29%
Baskonia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Amorebieta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Amorebieta lately — more wins on the board than Baskonia.
  • Win probability leans Amorebieta's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 4 2008/2009 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Amorebieta Clean Sheet 20%
Baskonia Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Amorebieta Baskonia
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 9 12
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.18 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.09 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Amorebieta vs Baskonia
3:0
Dec 12, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Baskonia vs Amorebieta
2:2
Mar 7, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Amorebieta vs Baskonia
0:1
Oct 26, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Baskonia vs Amorebieta
2:2
May 4, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Amorebieta vs Baskonia
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Amorebieta 49 / 100
Baskonia 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Amorebieta Baskonia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Amorebieta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baskonia has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Amorebieta found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (33 games).

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Amorebieta went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Amorebieta VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Amorebieta

(Home)
03 Oct
Atletico Astorga
0 : 1
Amorebieta
26 Sept
Amorebieta
0 : 1
Ourense CF
20 Sept
Rayo Cantabria
0 : 2
Amorebieta
13 Sept
Bergantinos
1 : 0
Amorebieta
06 Sept
Amorebieta
2 : 2
Arosa SC
Page 1 of 7

Baskonia

(Away)
08 May
Eibar B
4 : 3
Baskonia
02 May
Baskonia
0 : 0
Real Sociedad B
24 Apr
Amorebieta
3 : 0
Baskonia
17 Apr
Baskonia
3 : 3
Retuerto Sport
11 Apr
Leioa
0 : 2
Baskonia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lagun Onak 38 21 10 7 51:25 73
2 Amurrio Club 38 21 10 7 63:27 73
3 Elgoibar 38 19 13 6 54:32 70
4 Portugalete 38 20 10 8 54:35 70
5 Beasain 38 20 10 8 68:38 70
6 Gernika Club 38 15 11 12 45:35 56
7 Baskonia 38 14 14 10 50:51 56
8 Laudio 38 11 17 10 39:43 50
9 Zamudio 38 11 16 11 42:38 49
10 Amorebieta 38 13 9 16 59:59 48
11 Leioa 38 12 11 15 38:45 47
12 Arenas Getxo 38 11 14 13 38:43 47
13 Zalla UC 38 12 10 16 35:53 46
14 Santurtzi 38 12 10 16 36:45 46
15 Eibar B 38 9 17 12 32:35 44
16 SCD Durango 38 11 10 17 44:50 43
17 Zarautz KE 38 10 12 16 45:51 42
18 Ordizia 38 10 10 18 35:61 40
19 Alaves B 38 7 11 20 31:53 32
20 San Ignacio 38 2 13 23 25:65 19
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)