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Amorebieta vs Lemona

Spain Spain

Copa Federacion 2011/2012 Campo Municipal de Urritxe, Amorebieta-Etxano
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lemona in this Copa Federacion 2011/2012 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Amorebieta
20%
Draws
57%
Lemona
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lemona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Lemona haven't matched Amorebieta's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Lemona a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Amorebieta have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Lemona, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Amorebieta Clean Sheet 20%
Lemona Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Amorebieta Lemona
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 9 8
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.03 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.12 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2012 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Lemona vs Amorebieta
0:0
Jan 18, 2012 Copa Federacion
Amorebieta vs Lemona
1:2
Jan 11, 2012 Copa Federacion
Lemona vs Amorebieta
1:0
Jan 6, 2012 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Amorebieta vs Lemona
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Amorebieta 16 / 100
Lemona 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Amorebieta Lemona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lemona Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lemona has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Amorebieta found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (33 games).

Games between these two average 1.25 goals.

Amorebieta has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Amorebieta VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Amorebieta

(Home)
26 Sept
Amorebieta
0 : 1
Ourense CF
20 Sept
Rayo Cantabria
0 : 2
Amorebieta
13 Sept
Bergantinos
1 : 0
Amorebieta
06 Sept
Amorebieta
2 : 2
Arosa SC
29 Aug
Aurrera de Vitoria
2 : 0
Amorebieta
Page 1 of 7

Lemona

(Away)
13 May
Lemona
0 : 0
Amorebieta
06 May
Gimnastica Segoviana
1 : 2
Lemona
28 Apr
Lemona
2 : 1
Zamora
21 Apr
Guijuelo
2 : 1
Lemona
19 Apr
Lemona
6 : 1
Binissalem
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
CD Alcala 2
Jerez CF 1
Comarca 4
CA Pulpileno 0
Villarrobledo 2
Olimpic Xativa 4
Almeria B 1
AD Ceuta 2
Pena 2
Tudelano 3
Naxara 2
SD Logrones 3
Lemona 5
Burgos CF 1
Amorebieta 4
Real Union 4
Lleida 1
CF Badalona 5
Ontinyent 0
Teruel 5
Coruxo FC 3
Lugo 5
Rayo Cantabria 6
Tuilla 4
Gimnastica Segoviana 2
Mexico 4
Rayo Vallecano B 7
Vecindario 0
Toledo 3
CD Puertollano 1
Binissalem 4
Santboia 1
1/8-finals
CD Alcala 2
Comarca 1
Olimpic Xativa 0
AD Ceuta 3
Tudelano 3
SD Logrones 2
Lemona 3
Amorebieta 1
CF Badalona 1
Teruel 3
Lugo 1
Rayo Cantabria 2
Mexico 0
Rayo Vallecano B 5
Toledo 1
Binissalem 2
Quarter-finals
CD Alcala 3
AD Ceuta 6
Tudelano 3
Lemona 3
Teruel 7
Rayo Cantabria 1
Rayo Vallecano B 3
Binissalem 4
Semi-finals
AD Ceuta 2
Lemona 4
Teruel 3
Binissalem 4
Final
Lemona 6
Binissalem 6