Sport Picks
Amorebieta vs Sestao Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 Campo Municipal de Urritxe, Amorebieta-Etxano 
Match Events
18'
18'
Etxaniz J.
(Penalty)
29'
29'
Garcia J.
49'
49'
Rodriguez F.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
21%
15%
64%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sestao
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Sestao have won more games recently than Amorebieta.
- Win probability leans Sestao's way, sitting at 70%.
- Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Amorebieta Clean Sheet 20%
Sestao Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Amorebieta | Sestao |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 10 |
| Losses | 11 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.76 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 26, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Amorebieta vs Sestao
1:1
Jan 4, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Sestao vs Amorebieta
1:2
Feb 22, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Sestao vs Amorebieta
1:0
Nov 30, 2024 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Amorebieta vs Sestao
2:0
Jul 29, 2023 Club Friendly
Sestao vs Amorebieta
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Amorebieta Compare
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Sestao Compare
Top Goalscorer Garcia J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Amorebieta 16 / 100
Sestao 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Amorebieta Sestao
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sestao Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Amorebieta found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).
Sestao let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Recent resilience: Amorebieta stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Amorebieta VS Sestao
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Amorebieta
(Home) 26 Sept
Amorebieta
0 : 1 Ourense CF
20 Sept
Rayo Cantabria
0 : 2 Amorebieta
13 Sept
Bergantinos
1 : 0 Amorebieta
06 Sept
Amorebieta
2 : 2 Arosa SC
29 Aug
Aurrera de Vitoria
2 : 0 Amorebieta
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Amorebieta
0 : 1 Ourense CF
06 Sept
Amorebieta
2 : 2 Arosa SC
08 Aug
Amorebieta
0 : 1 Ath Bilbao B
04 Aug
Amorebieta
1 : 5 Arenas Getxo
26 Apr
Amorebieta
1 : 1 Sestao
Page 1 of 3
Sestao
(Away) 30 Sept
Sestao
4 : 1 Terrassa
26 Sept
Sestao
2 : 0 Atletico Astorga
20 Sept
Compostela
2 : 0 Sestao
16 Sept
Comillas CF
1 : 2 Sestao
13 Sept
Sestao
2 : 0 Real Oviedo B
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Compostela
2 : 0 Sestao
16 Sept
Comillas CF
1 : 2 Sestao
09 Sept
CF Badalona
2 : 3 Sestao
06 Sept
Rayo Cantabria
0 : 1 Sestao
29 Aug
Derio
0 : 1 Sestao
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Union | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 64:35 | 69 |
| 2 | Alaves B | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 41:20 | 62 |
| 3 | UD Logrones | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 73:33 | 61 |
| 4 | Utebo FC | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 56:42 | 58 |
| 5 | Tudelano | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 56:40 | 57 |
| 6 | Amorebieta | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 38:32 | 50 |
| 7 | Sestao | 34 | 12 | 14 | 8 | 40:33 | 50 |
| 8 | Ebro | 34 | 11 | 16 | 7 | 42:36 | 49 |
| 9 | Eibar B | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 41:42 | 49 |
| 10 | Basconia | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 55:43 | 47 |
| 11 | Gernika Club | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 34:40 | 45 |
| 12 | Naxara | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 39:48 | 41 |
| 13 | SD Logrones | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 22:40 | 37 |
| 14 | Beasain | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 38:46 | 36 |
| 15 | SD Ejea | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 35:55 | 35 |
| 16 | Mutilvera | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 31:65 | 30 |
| 17 | Zaragoza B | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 32:59 | 28 |
| 18 | Alfaro | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 32:60 | 25 |
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)
