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Amorebieta vs Utebo FC

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 Campo Municipal de Urritxe, Amorebieta-Etxano
Our Tip

Match Events

76' Event
Suarez D.

AI Match Summary

Utebo FC in this Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Utebo FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Amorebieta
17%
Draws
13%
Utebo FC
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Amorebieta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Utebo FC at 1.38 per game, Amorebieta at 1.25.
  • Win probability leans Amorebieta's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Amorebieta Clean Sheet 68%
Utebo FC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Amorebieta Utebo FC
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 12
Draws 9 6
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.25 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Amorebieta vs Utebo FC
0:1
Oct 25, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Utebo FC vs Amorebieta
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Amorebieta Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Utebo FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Suarez D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Amorebieta 77 / 100
Utebo FC 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Amorebieta Utebo FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AMO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Amorebieta found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Utebo FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Amorebieta went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Amorebieta VS Utebo FC
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Amorebieta

(Home)
03 May
Mutilvera
0 : 2
Amorebieta
26 Apr
Amorebieta
1 : 1
Sestao
18 Apr
Real Union
3 : 3
Amorebieta
11 Apr
Amorebieta
1 : 2
Gernika Club
05 Apr
Alaves B
1 : 2
Amorebieta
Page 1 of 6

Utebo FC

(Away)
17 May
Aguilas FC
2 : 1
Utebo FC
10 May
Utebo FC
1 : 2
Aguilas FC
03 May
Sestao
1 : 0
Utebo FC
26 Apr
Utebo FC
1 : 0
Ebro
18 Apr
Mutilvera
1 : 2
Utebo FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Real Union34209564:3569
2Alaves B341711641:2062
3UD Logrones34187973:3361
4Utebo FC341771056:4258
5Tudelano34169956:4057
6Amorebieta3413111038:3250
7Sestao341214840:3350
8Ebro341116742:3649
9Eibar B341471341:4249
10Basconia341114955:4347
11Gernika Club341291334:4045
12Naxara341181539:4841
13SD Logrones348131322:4037
14Beasain348121438:4636
15SD Ejea348111535:5535
16Mutilvera34862031:6530
17Zaragoza B34772032:5928
18Alfaro34672132:6025
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)