Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Amstetten vs Hogo Hertha Wels

Austria Austria

2. Liga Ertl Glas Stadion, Amstetten
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Steiger J.
21'
Tischler L.
46'
Sub
Mankan Y. In: Malinowski S.
Out: Mankan Y.

AI Match Summary

The 2. Liga game between Amstetten and Hogo Hertha Wels finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Amstetten
30%
Draws
23%
Hogo Hertha Wels
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Amstetten

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Amstetten's 1.66 goals per match outpaces what Hogo Hertha Wels have produced (1.45).
  • Model gives Amstetten a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Amstetten Clean Sheet 19%
Hogo Hertha Wels Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Amstetten Hogo Hertha Wels
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 9 4
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.66 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 2. Liga
Amstetten vs Hogo Hertha Wels
1:1
Feb 22, 2026 2. Liga
Amstetten vs Hogo Hertha Wels
1:1
Aug 15, 2025 2. Liga
Hogo Hertha Wels vs Amstetten
1:0
Feb 14, 2025 Club Friendly
Amstetten vs Hogo Hertha Wels
1:1
Jun 25, 2021 Club Friendly
Amstetten vs Hogo Hertha Wels
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Amstetten Compare

Top Goalscorer Wimmer S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Hogo Hertha Wels Compare

Top Goalscorer Malinowski S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Amstetten 85 / 100
Hogo Hertha Wels 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Amstetten Hogo Hertha Wels

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Amstetten Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Amstetten found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Hogo Hertha Wels conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Amstetten remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Hogo Hertha Wels has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Amstetten VS Hogo Hertha Wels
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Amstetten

(Home)
18 Sept
Kapfenberg
3 : 4
Amstetten
11 Sept
Amstetten
4 : 2
Austria Vienna (Am)
28 Aug
First Vienna
1 : 0
Amstetten
21 Aug
Amstetten
1 : 1
Hogo Hertha Wels
15 Aug
Floridsdorfer AC Wien
2 : 2
Amstetten
Page 1 of 6

Hogo Hertha Wels

(Away)
18 Sept
Hogo Hertha Wels
1 : 3
First Vienna
12 Sept
BW Linz
4 : 1
Hogo Hertha Wels
04 Sept
Kapfenberg
0 : 1
Hogo Hertha Wels
28 Aug
Hogo Hertha Wels
1 : 3
Admira
21 Aug
Amstetten
1 : 1
Hogo Hertha Wels
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 BW Linz 7 6 0 1 20:4 18
2 First Vienna 7 5 1 1 14:7 16
3 Floridsdorfer AC Wien 7 4 1 2 13:10 13
4 Amstetten 7 3 3 1 14:11 12
5 Austria Vienna (Am) 7 4 0 3 13:11 12
6 Wacker Innsbruck 7 3 2 2 10:8 11
7 A. Salzburg 7 3 1 3 14:12 10
8 FC Liefering 7 3 1 3 14:15 10
9 SW Bregenz 7 3 1 3 11:12 10
10 St. Polten 7 3 0 4 6:6 9
11 Admira 7 3 0 4 7:8 9
12 ASK Voitsberg 7 2 3 2 10:12 9
13 Sturm II 7 2 2 3 15:18 8
14 Rapid Vienna II 7 2 0 5 7:17 6
15 Hogo Hertha Wels 7 1 1 5 8:17 4
16 Kapfenberg 7 1 0 6 9:17 3
Promotion - Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)