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Amurrio Club vs Aurrera de Vitoria - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Tirapu A.
59' Event
Gil Garcia M.
70' Event
Ladrera A.

AI Match Summary

Aurrera de Vitoria in this Tercera RFEF - Group 4 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aurrera de Vitoria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Amurrio Club
20%
Draws
73%
Aurrera de Vitoria
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aurrera de Vitoria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aurrera de Vitoria lately — more wins on the board than Amurrio Club.
  • Win probability leans Aurrera de Vitoria's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Amurrio Club Clean Sheet 14%
Aurrera de Vitoria Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Amurrio Club Aurrera de Vitoria
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 15
Draws 8 5
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 0.9 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Amurrio Club vs Aurrera de Vitoria
1:2
May 5, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Aurrera de Vitoria vs Amurrio Club
1:1
Dec 16, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Amurrio Club vs Aurrera de Vitoria
3:0
May 9, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Aurrera de Vitoria vs Amurrio Club
1:2
Dec 20, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Amurrio Club vs Aurrera de Vitoria
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Amurrio Club Compare

Top Goalscorer Gil Garcia M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28

Aurrera de Vitoria Compare

Top Goalscorer Tirapu A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ladrera A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Amurrio Club 10 / 100
Aurrera de Vitoria 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Amurrio Club Aurrera de Vitoria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aurrera de Vitoria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aurrera de Vitoria let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Amurrio Club scored in 52% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: Amurrio Club stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Amurrio Club VS Aurrera de Vitoria
0.13 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Amurrio Club

(Home)
10 Oct
Real Sociedad C
1 : 0
Amurrio Club
04 Oct
Amurrio Club
0 : 5
Leioa
26 Sept
SD Erandio
2 : 0
Amurrio Club
20 Sept
Amurrio Club
0 : 0
Sodupe
12 Sept
Alaves C
3 : 0
Amurrio Club
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Aurrera de Vitoria

(Away)
10 Oct
Leioa
4 : 0
Aurrera de Vitoria
03 Oct
Aurrera de Vitoria
2 : 1
SD Erandio
26 Sept
Sodupe
0 : 3
Aurrera de Vitoria
19 Sept
Aurrera de Vitoria
2 : 1
Alaves C
12 Sept
Aurrera de Vitoria
1 : 1
Touring KE
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aurrera de Vitoria 6 4 1 1 10:8 13
2 Leioa 6 3 3 0 16:6 12
3 Derio 6 3 3 0 8:3 12
4 Real Sociedad C 6 3 2 1 11:8 11
5 Alaves C 6 3 1 2 13:6 10
6 Pasaia 5 3 1 1 7:6 10
7 San Ignacio 6 2 2 2 10:8 8
8 Touring KE 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
9 UD Aretxabaleta 5 2 2 1 4:3 8
10 Sodupe 6 2 2 2 5:9 8
11 SCD Durango 6 1 4 1 9:9 7
12 Beasain 6 2 1 3 7:8 7
13 Lagun Onak 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
14 SD Erandio 6 2 0 4 6:8 6
15 Santurtzi 6 2 0 4 3:7 6
16 Eibar C 6 1 2 3 9:10 5
17 Real Union B 6 1 2 3 7:12 5
18 Amurrio Club 6 0 1 5 1:13 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 (Play Offs)