Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Anadia vs Canelas 2010

Portugal Portugal

Liga 3 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Silva J.
33'
Carvalho A.
45'
Martins S.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 2023/2024 game between Anadia and Canelas 2010 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Anadia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Anadia
35%
Draws
16%
Canelas 2010
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Anadia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Anadia come out ahead of Canelas 2010 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Anadia a 49% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Canelas 2010 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Anadia Clean Sheet 68%
Canelas 2010 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Anadia Canelas 2010
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 9 8
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2024 Liga 3
Anadia vs Canelas 2010
1:0
Feb 25, 2024 Liga 3
Canelas 2010 vs Anadia
2:0
Nov 5, 2023 Liga 3
Anadia vs Canelas 2010
1:4
Aug 8, 2023 Liga 3
Canelas 2010 vs Anadia
3:2
Apr 29, 2023 Liga 3
Canelas 2010 vs Anadia
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Anadia Compare

Top Goalscorer Leite T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Canelas 2010 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Anadia 68 / 100
Canelas 2010 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Anadia Canelas 2010

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Anadia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Anadia scored in 64% of their last 33 games.

Defensive concern: Canelas 2010 conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Anadia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Anadia VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Anadia

(Home)
18 Apr
Vila Mea
0 : 0
Anadia
12 Apr
Anadia
2 : 1
CD Gouveia
04 Apr
Uniao Lamas
0 : 0
Anadia
22 Mar
Anadia
0 : 3
FC Alpendorada
15 Mar
Cinfaes
2 : 2
Anadia
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Canelas 2010

(Away)
04 May
Canelas 2010
0 : 2
AD Fafe
27 Apr
Anadia
1 : 0
Canelas 2010
14 Apr
Trofense
4 : 1
Canelas 2010
07 Apr
Canelas 2010
1 : 1
Sanjoanense
30 Mar
SC Vianense
0 : 0
Canelas 2010
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