Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Anadia vs Pinhalnovense

Portugal Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
Monteiro T.
51' Event
Monteiro T.
87' Event
Bandeira J.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Anadia advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Anadia
35%
Draws
32%
Pinhalnovense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Anadia have managed 1.03 goals a game lately — Pinhalnovense are scoring more at 1.48.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Anadia, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Anadia Clean Sheet 20%
Pinhalnovense Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Anadia Pinhalnovense
Matches Played 30 21
Wins 9 9
Draws 9 4
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.03 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 22, 2020 Taça de Portugal
Anadia vs Pinhalnovense
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Anadia Compare

Top Goalscorer Monteiro T.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Pinhalnovense Compare

Top Goalscorer Bandeira J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Anadia 32 / 100
Pinhalnovense 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Anadia Pinhalnovense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Anadia's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Pinhalnovense conceded in 71% of 21 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Anadia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Anadia VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Anadia

(Home)
18 Apr
Vila Mea
0 : 0
Anadia
12 Apr
Anadia
2 : 1
CD Gouveia
04 Apr
Uniao Lamas
0 : 0
Anadia
22 Mar
Anadia
0 : 3
FC Alpendorada
15 Mar
Cinfaes
2 : 2
Anadia
Page 1 of 6

Pinhalnovense

(Away)
12 Dec
Juv. Evora
0 : 0
Pinhalnovense
05 Dec
Pinhalnovense
4 : 1
Serpa
28 Nov
Louletano
2 : 2
Pinhalnovense
07 Nov
Pinhalnovense
0 : 0
FC Barreirense
31 Oct
Esperanca de Lagos
4 : 2
Pinhalnovense
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Berco 1
Vilaverdense FC 2
SC Lourinhanense 0
Santarem 3
U. Madeira 0
Tirsense 5
TBD -
Montijo -
Trofense 1
Vila Mea 0
TBD -
Agueda -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Braga -
UC Idanhense -
TBD -
Torreense 3
Uniao Almeirim 0
Alverca 3
Guadalupe 0
Porto da Cruz 1
Camacha 4
Uniao Montemor -
TBD -
TBD -
Feirense -
Amora -
TBD -
Ferreiras 3
Louletano 2
Sao Joao de Ver 1
Lusitania FC 0
Portalegrense 0
Marinhense 11
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz 2
Alqueidao 1
TBD -
Cova De Piedade -
Sporting Ideal 4
Vale Formoso 0
TBD -
Merelinense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Moreirense -
Africanos Braganca -
TBD -
TBD -
Arouca -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
Moura AC 2
Culatrense 0
Beira Mar 1
Oliveira Hospital 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Santa Clara -
Fazendense 0
1º Dezembro 2
FC Crato 0
Leiria 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Portimonense -
Fatima 0
Oleiros 3
Aguia Vimioso 1
SC Mirandela 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gil Vicente -
Maria de Fonte 1
CDC Montalegre 2
Aguiar da Beira 1
Vila Cortez 4
Vitoria Setubal -
TBD -
TBD -
Academico Viseu -
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 1
Juv. Evora 2
TBD -
Academica -
Rebordelo -
TBD -
TBD -
Varzim -
SC Vila Real 1
Mondinense 0
TBD -
Casa Pia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nacional -
UD Ovarense -
TBD -
Oriental Dragon 3
Fayal 0
Santa Marta Penaguiao 2
Cinfaes 0
TBD -
Leixoes -
Alcains 2
Vitoria Sernache 3
Fabril do Barreiro 2
CD Rabo Peixe 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Porto -
FC Felgueiras 3
Aves 0
Coimbroes 1
Valadares Gaia FC 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tondela -
Esperanca de Lagos -
TBD -
TBD -
Penafiel -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maritimo -
Pedras Rubras 2
Amarante FC 1
TBD -
SC Salgueiros -
Caldas SC -
TBD -
TBD -
Covilha -
Anca 3
Tocha 1
Sacavenense 2
Sintrense 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sporting CP -
Sesimbra -
TBD -
TBD -
Oliveirense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pacos Ferreira -
Desportivo Moncao -
TBD -
FC Barreirense 3
FC Madalena 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rio Ave -
Cerveira 2
Brito 0
TBD -
Oriental -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Famalicao -
Sertanense 1
SB Castelo Branco 0
TBD -
Estoril -
Olhanense 0
Lusitano GC 2
TBD -
Mortagua FC -
Camara de Lobos 2
Leca 1
TBD -
Vizela -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Boavista -
Lusitano GC 0
Moncarapachense 1
Anadia 2
Condeixa 0
Calvao 0
Carapinheirense 1
Pinhalnovense 2
Atletico CP 0
Sao Roque 0
Estrela da Amadora 3
Lusitano FCV 1
Aguias do Moradal 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
SC Farense -
Sao Martinho 2
Pevidem 0
Paredes 1
Castro Daire 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Benfica -
Vidago -
TBD -
TBD -
Vilafranquense -
Ferreira de Aves 0
Sanjoanense 1
Canelas 2010 2
FC Foz 0
GD Braganca 0
AD Limianos 1
Aljustrelense 1
Praia Milfontes 0
GD Fontinhas -
TBD -
TBD -
Mafra -
Pero Pinheiro 1
SC Praiense 0
Cacadores Taipas 0
AD Fafe 3
FC Amares 0
SC Vianense 1
TBD -
Vilar de Perdizes -
Tomar 2
AD Portomosense 3
Real SC 3
SC Lusitania 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
BSAD -
SC Espinho -
TBD -
TBD -
Chaves -
Ericeirense 0
GS Loures 3
Gondomar 7
Meda 0
1/64-finals
Vilaverdense FC 2
Santarem 1
Tirsense 2
Montijo 3
Trofense 4
Agueda 2
TBD -
Braga -
UC Idanhense 0
Torreense 8
Alverca 2
Camacha 1
Uniao Montemor 0
Feirense 2
Amora 1
Ferreiras 0
Sao Joao de Ver 0
Marinhense 1
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz 1
Cova De Piedade 4
Sporting Ideal 0
Merelinense 1
TBD -
Moreirense -
Africanos Braganca 0
Arouca 5
TBD -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
Moura AC 0
Beira Mar 2
TBD -
Santa Clara -
1º Dezembro 1
Leiria 2
TBD -
Portimonense -
Oleiros 3
SC Mirandela 2
TBD -
Gil Vicente -
CDC Montalegre 3
Vila Cortez 1
Vitoria Setubal 0
Academico Viseu 1
Juv. Evora 1
Academica 3
Rebordelo 1
Varzim 3
SC Vila Real 2
Casa Pia 3
TBD -
Nacional -
UD Ovarense 1
Oriental Dragon 2
Santa Marta Penaguiao 1
Leixoes 5
Vitoria Sernache 0
Fabril do Barreiro 2
TBD -
FC Porto -
FC Felgueiras 2
Valadares Gaia FC 1
TBD -
Tondela -
Esperanca de Lagos 1
Penafiel 3
TBD -
Maritimo -
Pedras Rubras 2
SC Salgueiros 3
Caldas SC 1
Covilha 2
Anca 2
Sacavenense 3
TBD -
Sporting CP -
Sesimbra 1
Oliveirense 4
TBD -
Pacos Ferreira -
Desportivo Moncao 2
FC Barreirense 0
TBD -
Rio Ave -
Cerveira 0
Oriental 2
TBD -
Famalicao -
Sertanense 0
Estoril 4
Lusitano GC 2
Mortagua FC 1
Camara de Lobos 0
Vizela 2
TBD -
Boavista -
Moncarapachense 1
Anadia 2
Carapinheirense 0
Pinhalnovense 2
Estrela da Amadora 2
Lusitano FCV 0
TBD -
SC Farense -
Sao Martinho 1
Paredes 2
TBD -
Benfica -
Vidago 1
Vilafranquense 5
Sanjoanense 1
Canelas 2010 0
AD Limianos 2
Aljustrelense 1
GD Fontinhas 1
Mafra 0
Pero Pinheiro 0
AD Fafe 1
SC Vianense 0
Vilar de Perdizes 1
AD Portomosense 0
Real SC 3
TBD -
BSAD -
SC Espinho 1
Chaves 0
GS Loures 0
Gondomar 2
1/32-finals
Vilaverdense FC 2
Montijo 3
Trofense 1
Braga 2
Torreense 2
Alverca 0
Feirense 0
Amora 1
Marinhense 1
Cova De Piedade 2
Merelinense 0
Moreirense 1
Arouca 0
Vitoria Guimaraes 1
Beira Mar 1
Santa Clara 3
Leiria 1
Portimonense 0
Oleiros 0
Gil Vicente 1
CDC Montalegre 2
Academico Viseu 3
Academica 1
Varzim 0
Casa Pia 2
Nacional 3
Oriental Dragon 0
Leixoes 1
Fabril do Barreiro 0
FC Porto 2
FC Felgueiras 0
Tondela 1
Penafiel 2
Maritimo 3
SC Salgueiros 2
Covilha 1
Sacavenense 1
Sporting CP 7
Oliveirense 0
Pacos Ferreira 4
Desportivo Moncao 1
Rio Ave 2
Oriental 0
Famalicao 3
Estoril 5
Lusitano GC 0
Vizela 0
Boavista 1
Anadia 2
Pinhalnovense 1
Estrela da Amadora 2
SC Farense 0
Paredes 0
Benfica 1
Vilafranquense 2
Sanjoanense 1
AD Limianos 1
GD Fontinhas 2
AD Fafe 5
Vilar de Perdizes 1
Real SC 0
BSAD 2
SC Espinho 2
Gondomar 1
1/16-finals
Montijo 0
Braga 7
Torreense 1
Amora 0
Cova De Piedade 2
Moreirense 3
Vitoria Guimaraes 0
Santa Clara 1
Leiria 0
Gil Vicente 3
Academico Viseu 3
Academica 0
Nacional 3
Leixoes 1
FC Porto 2
Tondela 1
Maritimo 2
SC Salgueiros 1
Sporting CP 3
Pacos Ferreira 0
Rio Ave 2
Famalicao 1
Estoril 2
Boavista 1
Anadia 0
Estrela da Amadora 1
Benfica 5
Vilafranquense 0
GD Fontinhas 1
AD Fafe 2
BSAD 3
SC Espinho 0
1/8-finals
Braga 5
Torreense 0
Moreirense 1
Santa Clara 2
Gil Vicente 3
Academico Viseu 2
Nacional 2
FC Porto 4
Maritimo 2
Sporting CP 0
Rio Ave 1
Estoril 2
Estrela da Amadora 0
Benfica 4
AD Fafe 2
BSAD 3
Quarter-finals
Braga 2
Santa Clara 1
Gil Vicente 0
FC Porto 2
Maritimo 1
Estoril 3
Benfica 3
BSAD 0
Semi-finals
Braga 4
FC Porto 3
Estoril 1
Benfica 5
Final
Braga 2
Benfica 0