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Anapolis vs ABECAT Ouvidorense Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Goiano Estadio Jonas Duarte, Anápolis
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Alan Junior
24' Event
Emerson Machado
45'
Gharib

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-4. The second leg ended 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Anapolis
20%
Draws
40%
ABECAT Ouvidorense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Anapolis carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Anapolis's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Anapolis have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor ABECAT Ouvidorense, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Anapolis Clean Sheet 16%
ABECAT Ouvidorense Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Anapolis ABECAT Ouvidorense
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 15 10
Draws 6 9
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.41 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.67 1.46
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Goiano
ABECAT Ouvidorense vs Anapolis
3:4
Feb 22, 2026 Goiano
Anapolis vs ABECAT Ouvidorense
0:2
Feb 2, 2026 Goiano
ABECAT Ouvidorense vs Anapolis
2:2
Mar 5, 2025 Goiano
Anapolis vs ABECAT Ouvidorense
3:2
Mar 1, 2025 Goiano
ABECAT Ouvidorense vs Anapolis
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Anapolis Compare

Avg xG / game 0.52
Avg xA / game 0.34

ABECAT Ouvidorense Compare

Top Goalscorer Emerson Machado
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jackson
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.81

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Anapolis 41 / 100
ABECAT Ouvidorense 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Anapolis ABECAT Ouvidorense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Anapolis scored in 68% of their last 37 games.

ABECAT Ouvidorense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Anapolis went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Anapolis VS ABECAT Ouvidorense
1 Goals Scored 1.67
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.33
63% Over 1.5 67%
50% Over 2.5 33%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Anapolis

(Home)
29 Aug
Anapolis
1 : 1
Santa Cruz
22 Aug
Confianca
0 : 1
Anapolis
16 Aug
Floresta EC
1 : 0
Anapolis
10 Aug
Anapolis
2 : 1
Guarani
25 Jul
Volta Redonda
1 : 4
Anapolis
Page 1 of 8

ABECAT Ouvidorense

(Away)
14 Jun
Uberlandia
0 : 1
ABECAT Ouvidorense
30 May
ABECAT Ouvidorense
2 : 1
Betim FC
23 May
ABECAT Ouvidorense
2 : 0
Operario MS
17 May
CRAC
2 : 1
ABECAT Ouvidorense
10 May
Ivinhema
0 : 0
ABECAT Ouvidorense
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

5th place
Jataiense 2
ABECAT Ouvidorense 3
Semi-finals
Jataiense 3
CRAC 1
ABECAT Ouvidorense 5
Anapolis 4