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Anapolis vs Guarani

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Estadio Jonas Duarte, Anápolis
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Guilherme Cachoeira
38'
Ynaia
39' Event
Matheus Lagoa

AI Match Summary

Anapolis in this Serie C matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Anapolis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Anapolis
30%
Draws
23%
Guarani
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Anapolis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Guarani haven't matched Anapolis's recent run of results.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Anapolis taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Anapolis Clean Sheet 68%
Guarani Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Anapolis Guarani
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 4 11
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.2 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 10, 2026 Serie C
Anapolis vs Guarani
2:1
Jul 21, 2025 Serie C
Anapolis vs Guarani
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Anapolis Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheus Lagoa
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Guarani Compare

Top Goalscorer Guilherme Cachoeira
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Anapolis 77 / 100
Guarani 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Anapolis Guarani

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Anapolis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Anapolis found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Guarani's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Anapolis stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Anapolis VS Guarani
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Anapolis

(Home)
29 Aug
Anapolis
1 : 1
Santa Cruz
22 Aug
Confianca
0 : 1
Anapolis
16 Aug
Floresta EC
1 : 0
Anapolis
10 Aug
Anapolis
2 : 1
Guarani
25 Jul
Volta Redonda
1 : 4
Anapolis
Page 1 of 6

Guarani

(Away)
29 Aug
Guarani
2 : 2
Brusque
22 Aug
Botafogo PB
3 : 1
Guarani
17 Aug
Guarani
2 : 2
Ypiranga FC
10 Aug
Anapolis
2 : 1
Guarani
27 Jul
Guarani
3 : 1
Internacional de Limeira
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo PB 19 10 3 6 28:19 33
2 Brusque 19 9 5 5 28:22 32
3 Ferroviaria 19 8 6 5 22:15 30
4 Maringa FC 19 8 6 5 32:30 30
5 Floresta EC 19 8 6 5 22:20 30
6 Internacional de Limeira 19 8 6 5 22:20 30
7 Paysandu PA 19 9 2 8 26:27 29
8 Santa Cruz 19 8 5 6 20:15 29
9 Ypiranga FC 19 8 5 6 27:24 29
10 Guarani 19 7 7 5 34:24 28
11 Figueirense 19 7 7 5 19:22 28
12 Maranhao 19 7 6 6 19:18 27
13 Amazonas 19 7 5 7 21:23 26
14 SER Caxias do Sul 19 6 7 6 17:16 25
15 Ituano 19 6 4 9 18:21 22
16 Volta Redonda 19 6 3 10 13:25 21
17 Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 19 5 6 8 21:21 21
18 Anapolis 19 5 4 10 17:22 19
19 Itabaiana 19 4 5 10 14:27 17
20 Confianca 19 3 4 12 11:20 13
Promotion - Serie C (Second stage)
Relegation - Serie D 2027 (Main)