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Anapolis vs Guarani

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Estadio Jonas Duarte, Anápolis
Mon, Aug 10, 2026
VS
11:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Anapolis host Guarani in the Serie C. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Anapolis at 0.88 goals for, 1.25 against; Guarani at 1.88 for, 1 against. Past meetings favor Anapolis slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 21, 2025, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 0.94 vs 1.56, favoring Anapolis. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Anapolis
30%
Draws
29%
Guarani
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Anapolis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / High Confidence
  • Anapolis haven't matched Guarani's recent run of results.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Anapolis taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Anapolis Clean Sheet 15%
Guarani Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Anapolis Guarani
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 12
Draws 3 9
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 0.88 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.25 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 21, 2025 Serie C
Anapolis vs Guarani
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Anapolis 48 / 100
Guarani 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Anapolis Guarani

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ANA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Anapolis found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Guarani's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Anapolis stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Anapolis VS Guarani
0.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Anapolis

(Home)
25 Jul
Volta Redonda
1 : 4
Anapolis
12 Jul
Anapolis
0 : 1
Maringa FC
06 Jul
Anapolis
0 : 2
Botafogo PB
30 Jun
SER Caxias do Sul
1 : 1
Anapolis
20 Jun
Anapolis
2 : 0
Itabaiana
Page 1 of 6

Guarani

(Away)
27 Jul
Guarani
3 : 1
Internacional de Limeira
12 Jul
Paysandu PA
3 : 2
Guarani
04 Jul
Guarani
0 : 0
Floresta EC
28 Jun
Figueirense
1 : 1
Guarani
22 Jun
Confianca
2 : 0
Guarani
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brusque 15 8 3 4 21:15 27
2 Guarani 15 7 5 3 28:15 26
3 Botafogo PB 15 8 1 6 21:16 25
4 Internacional de Limeira 15 7 4 4 18:17 25
5 Santa Cruz 15 7 3 5 15:11 24
6 Paysandu PA 15 7 2 6 23:21 23
7 Maringa FC 15 6 5 4 28:25 23
8 Ferroviaria 15 6 5 4 15:12 23
9 Ypiranga FC 15 6 3 6 18:19 21
10 SER Caxias do Sul 15 5 6 4 14:12 21
11 Floresta EC 15 5 6 4 16:15 21
12 Amazonas 15 6 2 7 15:20 20
13 Figueirense 15 5 5 5 13:18 20
14 Ituano 15 5 4 6 16:17 19
15 Volta Redonda 15 5 3 7 11:19 18
16 Maranhao 15 4 6 5 11:14 18
17 Itabaiana 15 4 5 6 13:18 17
18 Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 15 3 6 6 17:17 15
19 Anapolis 15 3 3 9 13:19 12
20 Confianca 15 3 3 9 9:15 12
Promotion - Serie C (Second stage)
Relegation - Serie D 2027 (Main)