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Anapolis vs Maringa FC

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Estadio Jonas Duarte
Sun, Jul 12, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Anapolis play Maringa FC in the Serie C. It looks like a close match. Recently, Anapolis averaged 1.28 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. Maringa FC averaged 1.9 goals scored and 1.34 conceded. In past meetings, Anapolis won 1, Maringa FC won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 25, 2025 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Anapolis and 1.44 for Maringa FC. This points to a Maringa FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Anapolis
35%
Draws
36%
Maringa FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Maringa FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Anapolis picked up more points recently compared to Maringa FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Anapolis Clean Sheet 16%
Maringa FC Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Anapolis Maringa FC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 13
Draws 4 9
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 1.28 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2025 Serie C
Anapolis vs Maringa FC
1:1
Sep 15, 2024 Serie D
Maringa FC vs Anapolis
0:1
Sep 8, 2024 Serie D
Anapolis vs Maringa FC
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Anapolis 29 / 100
Maringa FC 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Anapolis Maringa FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Maringa FC or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +38%
4.76
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Anapolis attacking → ← attacking Maringa FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Anapolis scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Maringa FC let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.67 goals.

Anapolis went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Maringa FC lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 48
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Brusque1373320:1424
2Guarani1365223:1123
3Internacional de Limeira1364316:1422
4Santa Cruz1363413:921
5Paysandu PA1362519:1720
6SER Caxias do Sul1355313:1020
7Botafogo PB1361617:1519
8Maringa FC1354426:2419
9Ituano1354415:1319
10Floresta EC1354415:1419
11Ferroviaria1354412:1119
12Ypiranga FC1353516:1718
13Amazonas1352613:1817
14Volta Redonda1352610:1517
15Figueirense1344512:1816
16Barra FC (Santa Catarina)1336416:1415
17Maranhao133559:1314
18Itabaiana1334611:1713
19Confianca133288:1211
20Anapolis132389:179