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Anapolis vs Tocantinopolis

Brazil Brazil

Copa Centro-Oeste Estadio Jonas Duarte, Anápolis
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Matheus Lagoa
57' Event
Fernandinho

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Anapolis advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Anapolis
44%
Draws
20%
Tocantinopolis
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Anapolis have managed 1.38 goals a game lately — Tocantinopolis are scoring more at 2.8.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Anapolis, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Anapolis Clean Sheet 10%
Tocantinopolis Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Anapolis Tocantinopolis
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 4 11
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.38 2.8
Goals Conceded 1 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Copa Centro-Oeste
Anapolis vs Tocantinopolis
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Anapolis Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheus Lagoa
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fernandinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Tocantinopolis Compare

Avg xG / game 2.55
Avg xA / game 1.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Anapolis 34 / 100
Tocantinopolis 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Anapolis Tocantinopolis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TOC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Anapolis scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Tocantinopolis let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Anapolis has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Anapolis VS Tocantinopolis
1.38 Goals Scored 2.8
1 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 80%
13% Over 3.5 80%

Recent Form & Match History

Anapolis

(Home)
25 Jul
Volta Redonda
1 : 4
Anapolis
12 Jul
Anapolis
0 : 1
Maringa FC
06 Jul
Anapolis
0 : 2
Botafogo PB
30 Jun
SER Caxias do Sul
1 : 1
Anapolis
20 Jun
Anapolis
2 : 0
Itabaiana
Page 1 of 6

Tocantinopolis

(Away)
06 Jun
Tocantinopolis
7 : 1
Oratorio
30 May
Aguia De Maraba
3 : 1
Tocantinopolis
23 May
Trem
4 : 1
Tocantinopolis
16 May
Tocantinopolis
2 : 0
Imperatriz
10 May
Tuna Luso
2 : 3
Tocantinopolis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vila Nova FC522110:48
2Rio Branco ES52215:48
3Operario MS52218:108
4Araguaina52126:47
5Capital51316:76
6Primavera AC50236:122
Promotion - Copa Centro-Oeste (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gama55008:315
2Anapolis53029:39
3Atletico GO52125:57
4Porto Vitoria52127:87
5Tocantinopolis50322:53
6Cuiaba50142:91
Promotion - Copa Centro-Oeste (Play Offs)