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Stadium Background

Anapolis vs Tocantinopolis

Brazil Brazil

Copa Centro-Oeste Estadio Jonas Duarte, Anápolis
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Matheus Lagoa
57' Event
Fernandinho

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. The second leg ended 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Anapolis
15%
Draws
40%
Tocantinopolis
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Anapolis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Anapolis have managed 1.2 goals a game lately — Tocantinopolis are scoring more at 1.33.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Anapolis taking it.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Anapolis, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Anapolis Clean Sheet 10%
Tocantinopolis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Anapolis Tocantinopolis
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 4 11
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.2 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.83 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Copa Centro-Oeste
Anapolis vs Tocantinopolis
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Anapolis Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheus Lagoa
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fernandinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.41
Avg xA / game 0.92

Tocantinopolis Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Anapolis 34 / 100
Tocantinopolis 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Anapolis Tocantinopolis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Anapolis scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Tocantinopolis let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Anapolis has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Anapolis VS Tocantinopolis
1 Goals Scored 3
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.67
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Anapolis

(Home)
29 Aug
Anapolis
1 : 1
Santa Cruz
22 Aug
Confianca
0 : 1
Anapolis
16 Aug
Floresta EC
1 : 0
Anapolis
10 Aug
Anapolis
2 : 1
Guarani
25 Jul
Volta Redonda
1 : 4
Anapolis
Page 1 of 6

Tocantinopolis

(Away)
06 Jun
Tocantinopolis
7 : 1
Oratorio
30 May
Aguia De Maraba
3 : 1
Tocantinopolis
23 May
Trem
4 : 1
Tocantinopolis
16 May
Tocantinopolis
2 : 0
Imperatriz
10 May
Tuna Luso
2 : 3
Tocantinopolis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vila Nova FC 5 2 2 1 10:4 8
2 Rio Branco ES 5 2 2 1 5:4 8
3 Operario MS 5 2 2 1 8:10 8
4 Araguaina 5 2 1 2 6:4 7
5 Capital 5 1 3 1 6:7 6
6 Primavera AC 5 0 2 3 6:12 2
Promotion - Copa Centro-Oeste (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gama 5 5 0 0 8:3 15
2 Anapolis 5 3 0 2 9:3 9
3 Atletico GO 5 2 1 2 5:5 7
4 Porto Vitoria 5 2 1 2 7:8 7
5 Tocantinopolis 5 0 3 2 2:5 3
6 Cuiaba 5 0 1 4 2:9 1
Promotion - Copa Centro-Oeste (Play Offs)