Sport Picks
Ancona vs Francavilla
Italy
Coppa Italia Serie D Stadio del Conero, Ancona 
Match Events
76'
76'
Esposito R.
78'
78'
Kouko D.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
35%
38%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Francavilla
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
38%
/ Low Confidence
- Ancona carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Francavilla's way, sitting at 70%.
- Ancona have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Ancona Clean Sheet 19%
Francavilla Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ancona | Francavilla |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 17 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 6 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.27 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.87 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 21, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie D
Francavilla vs Ancona
0:1
Jan 7, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie D
Ancona vs Francavilla
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ancona Compare
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Francavilla Compare
Top Goalscorer Esposito R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ancona 16 / 100
Francavilla 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ancona Francavilla
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FCF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ancona scored in 80% of their last 30 games.
Francavilla has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.
Ancona has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Ancona VS Francavilla
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Ancona
(Home) 10 May
Ancona
1 : 3 Notaresco Calcio
03 May
Ancona
1 : 1 Notaresco Calcio
26 Apr
Aquila Calcio
0 : 0 Ancona
19 Apr
Ancona
3 : 0 Sammaurese
12 Apr
Fossombrone
1 : 2 Ancona
Page 1 of 6
10 May
Ancona
1 : 3 Notaresco Calcio
03 May
Ancona
1 : 1 Notaresco Calcio
19 Apr
Ancona
3 : 0 Sammaurese
02 Apr
Ancona
0 : 2 Teramo
22 Mar
Ancona
1 : 1 AS Sora
Page 1 of 4
Francavilla
(Away) 03 May
Francavilla
2 : 0 Afragolese
26 Apr
Sarnese
2 : 2 Francavilla
19 Apr
Virtus Francavilla
0 : 3 Francavilla
12 Apr
Francavilla
4 : 1 Acerrana
02 Apr
Fidelis Andria
0 : 0 Francavilla
Page 1 of 6
26 Apr
Sarnese
2 : 2 Francavilla
19 Apr
Virtus Francavilla
0 : 3 Francavilla
02 Apr
Fidelis Andria
0 : 0 Francavilla
22 Mar
A.C.D. Nardo
2 : 1 Francavilla
01 Mar
SS Nola 1925
1 : 2 Francavilla
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Asti Calcio 2
Chisola 0
Ligorna 1
NovaRomentin 2
Vado 3
Sestri Levante 0
Tau 1
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 2
SCD Progresso 1
Pavia 2
Sant'Angelo 0
Prato 2
Montevarchi 1
Correggese 2
Imolese 1
Sondrio 1
Breno 0
Folgore Caratese 2
Club Milano 3
AC Milan U23 2
Varesina 3
Brusaporto 0
Ciserano-Bergamo 1
Chievo 0
Rovato Vertovese 1
Este 3
Vigasio 2
Cjarlins Muzane 1
Brian Lignano 2
Luparense FC 0
Mestre 1
Fossombrone 0
Ancona 1
Foligno 0
Atletico Ascoli 2
Orvietana 2
Siena 0
Follonica Gavorrano 0
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 2
Termoli 0
Albalonga 2
Aquila Calcio 1
Grosseto 0
Unipomezia 1
Trastevere Calcio 2
Budoni Calcio 0
Martina Calcio 3
Sarnese 1
Ferrandina 2
Francavilla 3
A.C. Savoia 2
Paganese 1
Citta di Fasano 3
Gravina 0
Nocerina 4
Gelbison 2
Sambiase 0
Reggina 1
Castrumfavara 3
Igea Virtus 1
Enna 0
Sancataldese 2
1/16-finals
Asti Calcio 3
NovaRomentin 2
Vado 0
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 2
Pavia 1
Prato 1
Correggese 4
Sondrio 0
Club Milano 3
Varesina 4
Ciserano-Bergamo 1
Rovato Vertovese 1
Este 3
Brian Lignano 0
Mestre 1
Ancona 1
Atletico Ascoli 0
Orvietana 0
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 2
Albalonga 1
Unipomezia 3
Trastevere Calcio 1
Martina Calcio 1
Francavilla 2
A.C. Savoia 3
Citta di Fasano 4
Nocerina 3
Reggina 2
Castrumfavara 3
Sancataldese 2
1/8-finals
Asti Calcio 1
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 0
Correggese 1
Club Milano 1
Varesina 0
Este 1
Mestre 2
Ancona 2
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 0
Unipomezia 1
Francavilla 3
Citta di Fasano 2
Nocerina 2
Castrumfavara 0
Quarter-finals
Pistoiese 2
Correggese 0
Club Milano 1
Mestre 0
Ancona 2
Unipomezia 1
Francavilla 1
Nocerina 0
Semi-finals
Pistoiese 3
Club Milano 1
Ancona 2
Francavilla 1
Final
Pistoiese 3
Ancona 0
