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Ancona vs Sporting Trestina - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F Stadio del Conero, Ancona
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
El Hadj C. G.
40' Event
Manuzzi F.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F game between Ancona and Sporting Trestina finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ancona.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Ancona
30%
Draws
19%
Sporting Trestina
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ancona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Sporting Trestina haven't matched Ancona's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Ancona's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Ancona Clean Sheet 20%
Sporting Trestina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ancona Sporting Trestina
Matches Played 34 31
Wins 19 9
Draws 9 10
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.47 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.82 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Ancona vs Sporting Trestina
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ancona Compare

Top Goalscorer El Hadj C. G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Manuzzi F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Sporting Trestina Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ancona 76 / 100
Sporting Trestina 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ancona Sporting Trestina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ancona Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ancona scored in 82% of their last 34 outings.

Solid form: Ancona remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Sporting Trestina let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Ancona VS Sporting Trestina
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ancona

(Home)
07 Oct
Ancona
2 : 1
Fossombrone
04 Oct
Ancona
2 : 0
Sporting Trestina
27 Sept
Angelana
1 : 1
Ancona
20 Sept
Ancona
2 : 2
Aquila Calcio
16 Sept
Maceratese
0 : 1
Ancona
Page 1 of 7

Sporting Trestina

(Away)
04 Oct
Ancona
2 : 0
Sporting Trestina
27 Sept
Sporting Trestina
2 : 0
Termoli
20 Sept
Atletico Ascoli
1 : 0
Sporting Trestina
16 Sept
Sporting Trestina
0 : 1
Fossombrone
12 Sept
Lanciano FC
0 : 0
Sporting Trestina
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aquila Calcio 6 4 2 0 12:2 14
2 Teramo 6 4 1 1 17:11 13
3 Vigor Senigallia 6 4 1 1 14:10 13
4 Foligno 6 4 1 1 7:6 13
5 Ancona 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
6 Fossombrone 6 3 1 2 6:9 10
7 Notaresco Calcio 6 2 2 2 6:6 8
8 Montecchio Gallo 6 2 2 2 5:5 8
9 Santegidiese 6 2 2 2 6:7 8
10 Giulianova 6 2 1 3 10:9 7
11 Lanciano FC 6 2 1 3 10:9 7
12 Termoli 6 2 1 3 4:5 7
13 Maceratese 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
14 Atletico Ascoli 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
15 Recanatese 6 1 3 2 8:9 6
16 Angelana 6 1 1 4 4:8 4
17 Sporting Trestina 6 1 1 4 4:9 4
18 Pietralunga 6 0 2 4 2:9 2
Promotion - Serie D - Group F (Play Offs)