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Anderlecht vs Salzburg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Europa League Lotto Park, Anderlecht
Thu, Nov 5, 2026
VS
05:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Anderlecht host Salzburg in the Europa League. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Anderlecht at 1.56 goals for, 1.15 against; Salzburg at 2.15 for, 1 against. Head-to-head, Anderlecht have won 1 to Salzburg's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Jul 7, 2017, ending 4:1. xG projections (1.19 - 1.13) back Salzburg to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Anderlecht
15%
Draws
37%
Salzburg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Anderlecht

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Anderlecht have managed 1.56 goals a game lately — Salzburg are scoring more at 2.15.
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on Anderlecht taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Europa League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Salzburg here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Anderlecht Clean Sheet 20%
Salzburg Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Anderlecht Salzburg
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 15 15
Draws 5 5
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.56 2.15
Goals Conceded 1.15 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 7, 2017 Club Friendly
Salzburg vs Anderlecht
4:1
Jul 8, 2012 Club Friendly
Salzburg vs Anderlecht
2:0
Sep 30, 1997 Europa League
Anderlecht vs Salzburg
4:2
Sep 16, 1997 Europa League
Salzburg vs Anderlecht
4:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Anderlecht 85 / 100
Salzburg 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Anderlecht Salzburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Anderlecht Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Anderlecht's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Anderlecht has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Salzburg has conceded goals in 56% of their last 27 outings.

Scoring Trends

Anderlecht VS Salzburg
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Anderlecht

(Home)
15 Oct
Din. Zagreb
1 : 0
Anderlecht
10 Oct
Cercle Brugge
1 : 2
Anderlecht
02 Oct
Anderlecht
3 : 0
Reims
19 Sept
Anderlecht
3 : 0
Waregem
16 Sept
Anderlecht
1 : 2
Lyon
Page 1 of 6

Salzburg

(Away)
15 Oct
Salzburg
0 : 4
AC Milan
10 Oct
Grazer AK
0 : 0
Salzburg
02 Oct
Salzburg
1 : 2
BW Linz
20 Sept
Salzburg
3 : 0
Sturm Graz
17 Sept
Levski Sofia
0 : 1
Salzburg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Juventus 2 2 0 0 7:1 6
2 Bayer Leverkusen 2 2 0 0 6:0 6
3 Benfica 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
4 Besiktas 2 2 0 0 7:3 6
5 Bournemouth 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
6 Omonia 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
7 Ferencvaros 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
8 Lyon 2 2 0 0 5:3 6
9 Sunderland 2 2 0 0 3:1 6
10 Olympiacos Piraeus 2 2 0 0 3:1 6
11 Sparta Prague 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
12 Royale Union SG 2 1 1 0 4:1 4
13 Rennes 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
14 Din. Zagreb 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
15 Crystal Palace 2 1 0 1 6:3 3
16 AC Milan 2 1 0 1 4:2 3
17 Jagiellonia 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
18 OFI Crete 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
19 Torreense 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
20 AZ Alkmaar 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
21 Salzburg 2 1 0 1 1:4 3
22 Real Sociedad 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
23 Lillestrom 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
24 Levski Sofia 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
25 H. Beer Sheva 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
26 Sturm Graz 2 0 1 1 0:3 1
27 Nijmegen 2 0 1 1 1:6 1
28 Celta Vigo 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
29 Anderlecht 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
30 Hoffenheim 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
31 Plzen 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
32 Marseille 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
33 Celtic 2 0 0 2 2:7 0
34 Ararat-Armenia 2 0 0 2 2:7 0
35 Celje 2 0 0 2 0:5 0
36 Lech Poznan 2 0 0 2 0:8 0
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)