Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Andes CF vs Atletico de Lugones

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 2 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Andes CF play Atletico de Lugones in the Tercera Division - Group 2 2013/2014. It looks like a close match. Recently, Andes CF averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.48 conceded. Atletico de Lugones averaged 0.71 goals scored and 1.68 conceded. In past meetings, Andes CF won 2, Atletico de Lugones won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 25, 2015 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Andes CF and 0.86 for Atletico de Lugones. This points to a Andes CF double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Andes CF
21%
Draws
31%
Atletico de Lugones
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Andes CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Andes CF picked up more points recently compared to Atletico de Lugones.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 0.86 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Andes CF Clean Sheet 25%
Atletico de Lugones Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Andes CF Atletico de Lugones
Matches Played 33 38
Wins 13 10
Draws 7 6
Losses 13 22
Goals Scored 1.33 0.71
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.68

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Atletico de Lugones vs Andes CF
1:2
Sep 21, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Andes CF vs Atletico de Lugones
1:1
Mar 30, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Andes CF vs Atletico de Lugones
2:0
Nov 10, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Atletico de Lugones vs Andes CF
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Andes CF 48 / 100
Atletico de Lugones 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Andes CF Atletico de Lugones

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Andes CF or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20%
2.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.7%
2.44
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Andes CF attacking → ← attacking Atletico de Lugones

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Andes CF scored in 76% of their last 33 games.

Atletico de Lugones let in goals in 76% of their last 38 matches.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Andes CF went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Atletico de Lugones lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

46 Points in last 5 36
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Lealtad38237862:2776
2Langreo38237862:2876
3Union Club Ceares382111654:3174
4Praviano38219857:3672
5Covadonga382011770:3571
6Tuilla381971267:3864
7Universidad Oviedo381971252:3064
8Cudillero381961359:5163
9L Entregu CF381781348:3959
10Condal3814131147:3455
11Real Aviles B3813101551:5549
12Real Oviedo B381461846:5348
13Basico Urraca3810161255:5446
14Atletico de Lugones3812101649:5546
15Lenense381082029:5438
16Gijon Industrial38992021:5036
17Andes CF381042432:7734
18Candas CF388102035:5334
19Luarca386102223:6628
20Real Tapia38552823:7620