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Andijan vs Neftchi Fargona - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League Bobur Arena, Andijan
Andijan Logo

Andijan

0 - 3
FT
Neftchi Fargona Logo

Neftchi Fargona

Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Toirov M.
20'
Sub
Ratinho In: Alibaev I.
Out: Ratinho
45'
Ciger B.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neftchi Fargona in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Neftchi Fargona.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Andijan
15%
Draws
53%
Neftchi Fargona
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Neftchi Fargona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Neftchi Fargona have won more games recently than Andijan.
  • Model gives Neftchi Fargona a 53% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Neftchi Fargona here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Andijan Clean Sheet 10%
Neftchi Fargona Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Andijan Neftchi Fargona
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 20
Draws 6 4
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 1.27 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.37 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 13, 2026 Super League
Andijan vs Neftchi Fargona
0:3
Mar 10, 2026 Super League
Neftchi Fargona vs Andijan
3:0
Oct 5, 2025 Super League
Neftchi Fargona vs Andijan
2:0
May 9, 2025 Super League
Andijan vs Neftchi Fargona
0:2
Sep 25, 2024 Super League
Andijan vs Neftchi Fargona
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Andijan Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Neftchi Fargona Compare

Top Goalscorer Odilov A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Perica S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Andijan 14 / 100
Neftchi Fargona 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Andijan Neftchi Fargona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Neftchi Fargona Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Andijan found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Neftchi Fargona conceded in 45% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Andijan remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Andijan VS Neftchi Fargona
1.25 Goals Scored 2.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Andijan

(Home)
09 Oct
Buxoro
3 : 2
Andijan
20 Sept
Andijan
1 : 4
Nasaf Qarshi
15 Sept
Andijan
3 : 2
Olimpik-Mobiuz
10 Sept
Andijan
2 : 1
Kokand 1912
04 Sept
Pakhtakor
3 : 0
Andijan
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Neftchi Fargona

(Away)
07 Oct
Neftchi Fargona
2 : 2
Xorazm Urganch
20 Sept
Lok. Tashkent
0 : 1
Neftchi Fargona
14 Sept
Neftchi Fargona
1 : 0
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
09 Sept
Neftchi Fargona
2 : 1
Termez Surkhon
04 Sept
Nasaf Qarshi
6 : 2
Neftchi Fargona
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Neftchi Fargona 23 16 4 3 52:19 52
2 Pakhtakor 23 15 7 1 42:21 52
3 Navbahor Namangan 23 13 6 4 41:23 45
4 Lok. Tashkent 23 11 5 7 39:30 38
5 Nasaf Qarshi 23 10 7 6 35:22 37
6 Buxoro 23 11 4 8 35:31 37
7 OKMK 23 10 6 7 33:31 36
8 Din. Samarkand 23 8 6 9 34:36 30
9 Andijan 23 9 3 11 29:31 30
10 Qizilqum 23 9 3 11 23:30 30
11 Sogdiana 23 8 4 11 40:46 28
12 Termez Surkhon 23 7 6 10 19:28 27
13 Kokand 1912 23 5 8 10 22:30 23
14 Xorazm Urganch 23 5 7 11 20:34 22
15 Bunyodkor 23 7 1 15 23:39 22
16 Mashal Muborak 23 1 1 21 11:47 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)