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Andrezieux vs Toulouse II

France France

National 2 - Group A 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Andrezieux play Toulouse II in the National 2 - Group A 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Andrezieux averaged 1.41 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. Toulouse II averaged 0.9 goals scored and 2.3 conceded. In past meetings, Andrezieux won 2, Toulouse II won 0, and they drew 3. Their last match on Apr 19, 2024 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for Andrezieux and 1.06 for Toulouse II. This points to a Andrezieux double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Andrezieux
35%
Draws
11%
Toulouse II
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Andrezieux

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

90% / Very High Confidence
  • Andrezieux picked up more points recently compared to Toulouse II.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
Over 3.5 Goals 30%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%
Andrezieux Clean Sheet 22%
Toulouse II Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Andrezieux Toulouse II
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 13 1
Draws 14 10
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 1.41 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.1 2.3

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2024 National 2 - Group A
Andrezieux vs Toulouse II
0:0
Dec 2, 2023 National 2 - Group A
Toulouse II vs Andrezieux
0:1
May 10, 2008 National 2 - Group C
Andrezieux vs Toulouse II
2:2
Jan 13, 2008 National 2 - Group C
Toulouse II vs Andrezieux
0:0
Mar 19, 2006 National 2 - Group C
Toulouse II vs Andrezieux
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Andrezieux 53 / 100
Toulouse II 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Andrezieux Toulouse II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Andrezieux Win (1)
Secondary Pick Andrezieux & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.2%
2.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.5%
2.27
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Andrezieux attacking → ← attacking Toulouse II

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Andrezieux scored in 74% of their last 39 games.

Toulouse II let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Andrezieux went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Toulouse II lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

53 Points in last 5 13
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Aubagne FC261410233:1752
2Le Puy-en-Velay261210439:2446
3RC Grasse261012431:2142
4Jura Sud261011534:2341
5Cannes26913441:2140
6Hyeres26910737:2237
7Frejus Saint Raphael26812625:1936
8Toulon2698930:2935
9Andrezieux26971026:2834
10Ales26781123:3929
11Thonon-Evian26771227:3528
12Chamalieres265111026:4026
13Bourgoin Jallieu26491324:4321
14Toulouse II26181724:5911