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Angel City W vs Bay FC W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

NWSL Women BMO Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
12:45 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Angel City W host Bay FC W in the NWSL Women. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Bay FC W have shipped 1.52 goals a game lately, while Angel City W have conceded 1.07 and scored 1.62. Past meetings favor Angel City W slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 22, 2026, ending 1:3. xG projections (2.00 - 1.06) back Angel City W to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Angel City W
30%
Draws
19%
Bay FC W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Angel City W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Angel City W come out ahead of Bay FC W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Angel City W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Angel City W Clean Sheet 20%
Bay FC W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Angel City W Bay FC W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 8
Draws 7 5
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 1.62 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 NWSL Women
Bay FC W vs Angel City W
1:3
Sep 2, 2025 NWSL Women
Angel City W vs Bay FC W
2:1
May 18, 2025 NWSL Women
Bay FC W vs Angel City W
2:0
Jul 27, 2024 NWSL x Liga MX Women Summer Cup
Bay FC W vs Angel City W
0:2
Jun 23, 2024 NWSL Women
Bay FC W vs Angel City W
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Angel City W 85 / 100
Bay FC W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Angel City W Bay FC W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Angel City W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Angel City W scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Angel City W remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Bay FC W conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Angel City W VS Bay FC W
2.13 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Angel City W

(Home)
04 Oct
Gotham FC W
1 : 1
Angel City W
26 Sept
Washington Spirit W
0 : 1
Angel City W
20 Sept
Utah Royals W
0 : 3
Angel City W
17 Sept
Angel City W
3 : 1
Seattle Reign W
12 Sept
Angel City W
3 : 3
Denver Summit W
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Bay FC W

(Away)
03 Oct
Kansas City Current W
5 : 1
Bay FC W
27 Sept
Bay FC W
1 : 3
Orlando Pride W
20 Sept
Bay FC W
2 : 0
Racing Louisville W
17 Sept
Denver Summit W
2 : 2
Bay FC W
13 Sept
Seattle Reign W
2 : 0
Bay FC W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gotham FC W 27 16 7 4 35:21 55
2 San Diego Wave W 27 16 3 8 40:28 51
3 Washington Spirit W 27 15 4 8 39:26 49
4 Utah Royals W 27 14 4 9 44:35 46
5 Kansas City Current W 27 13 5 9 48:38 44
6 Angel City W 27 12 7 8 45:29 43
7 Portland Thorns FC W 27 12 7 8 45:39 43
8 North Carolina Courage W 27 13 3 11 50:39 42
9 Seattle Reign W 27 12 4 11 33:32 40
10 Denver Summit W 27 10 8 9 45:37 38
11 Orlando Pride W 27 10 3 14 36:43 33
12 Houston Dash W 27 8 6 13 34:39 30
13 Boston Legacy W 27 8 5 14 36:46 29
14 Bay FC W 27 7 5 15 28:42 26
15 Racing Louisville W 27 7 3 17 36:52 24
16 Chicago Stars W 27 5 2 20 15:63 17
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