Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Angel City W vs Houston Dash W

USA USA

NWSL Women BMO Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Graham M.
Assist: Robbe M.
14'
Shores E.
25'
Colaprico D.

AI Match Summary

Angel City W in this NWSL Women matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Angel City W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Angel City W
22%
Draws
18%
Houston Dash W
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Angel City W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Angel City W lately — more wins on the board than Houston Dash W.
  • Win probability leans Angel City W's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular NWSL Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Angel City W Clean Sheet 68%
Houston Dash W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Angel City W Houston Dash W
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 9
Draws 4 6
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 NWSL Women
Houston Dash W vs Angel City W
2:1
Mar 28, 2026 NWSL Women
Angel City W vs Houston Dash W
2:1
Oct 12, 2025 NWSL Women
Angel City W vs Houston Dash W
2:0
Apr 12, 2025 NWSL Women
Houston Dash W vs Angel City W
1:3
Jun 16, 2024 NWSL Women
Houston Dash W vs Angel City W
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Angel City W Compare

Top Goalscorer Jonsdottir S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tiernan R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Houston Dash W Compare

Top Goalscorer Graham M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Angel City W 68 / 100
Houston Dash W 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Angel City W Houston Dash W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ANG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Angel City W's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Houston Dash W conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Angel City W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Angel City W VS Houston Dash W
1 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Diego Wave W1591521:1528
2Washington Spirit W1383222:1027
3Portland Thorns FC W1583424:1627
4Gotham FC W1373315:824
5Utah Royals W1473421:1624
6Kansas City Current W1480621:2024
7North Carolina Courage W1363420:1621
8Orlando Pride W1462621:1920
9Angel City W1361620:1419
10Seattle Reign W1352613:1617
11Denver Summit W1243517:1615
12Bay FC W1343613:1915
13Houston Dash W1342715:2114
14Boston Legacy W1434715:2113
15Chicago Stars W1440108:2812
16Racing Louisville W13211015:267