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Angel City W vs Portland Thorns FC W

USA USA

NWSL Women 2025 BMO Stadium
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Match Events

23' Event
Moultrie O.
Assist: Spaanstra A.
46'
Sub
Tiernan R. In: Jonsdottir S.
Out: Tiernan R.
47'
Coffey S.

AI Match Summary

The NWSL Women 2025 game between Angel City W and Portland Thorns FC W finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Portland Thorns FC W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Angel City W
22%
Draws
18%
Portland Thorns FC W
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Angel City W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Portland Thorns FC W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Angel City W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Angel City W Clean Sheet 16%
Portland Thorns FC W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Angel City W Portland Thorns FC W
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 11 14
Draws 4 7
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.13 1.88
Goals Conceded 1 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 NWSL Women
Portland Thorns FC W vs Angel City W
0:0
Apr 26, 2026 NWSL Women
Angel City W vs Portland Thorns FC W
1:2
Feb 15, 2026 Club Friendly Women
Portland Thorns FC W vs Angel City W
1:2
Oct 19, 2025 NWSL Women
Angel City W vs Portland Thorns FC W
0:2
Mar 22, 2025 NWSL Women
Portland Thorns FC W vs Angel City W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Angel City W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Portland Thorns FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Moultrie O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Angel City W 57 / 100
Portland Thorns FC W 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Angel City W Portland Thorns FC W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ANG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Angel City W scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Portland Thorns FC W conceded in 66% of 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Angel City W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Angel City W VS Portland Thorns FC W
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kansas City Current W26212349:1365
2Washington Spirit W26128642:3344
3Portland Thorns FC W26117836:2940
4Orlando Pride W26117833:2740
5Seattle Reign W26109732:2939
6San Diego Wave W26107941:3437
7Racing Louisville W26107935:3837
8Gotham FC W2699835:2536
9North Carolina Courage W2698937:3935
10Houston Dash W26861227:3930
11Angel City W26761331:4127
12Utah Royals W26671328:4225
13Bay FC W26481426:4120
14Chicago Stars W263111232:5420