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Angers vs Lille - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 1 Stade Raymond-Kopa, Angers
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Giroud O.
Assist: Bentaleb N.
22'
Bermont A.
31' Event
Santos T.

AI Match Summary

Lille in this Ligue 1 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lille.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Angers
35%
Draws
32%
Lille
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Lille have won more games recently than Angers.
  • Angers are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Lille here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Angers Clean Sheet 16%
Lille Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Angers Lille
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 14
Draws 7 7
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.03 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Ligue 1
Angers vs Lille
0:2
Feb 22, 2026 Ligue 1
Angers vs Lille
0:1
Nov 2, 2025 Ligue 1
Lille vs Angers
1:0
Apr 27, 2025 Ligue 1
Angers vs Lille
0:2
Aug 24, 2024 Ligue 1
Lille vs Angers
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Angers Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Lille Compare

Top Goalscorer Giroud O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Santos T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Angers 41 / 100
Lille 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Angers Lille

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Angers scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Lille's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Angers stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Angers VS Lille
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Angers

(Home)
25 Oct
Angers
0 : 0
Lorient
18 Oct
Angers
2 : 5
Marseille
10 Oct
Brest
5 : 1
Angers
19 Sept
Angers
2 : 0
Troyes
12 Sept
Le Havre
0 : 0
Angers
Page 1 of 6

Lille

(Away)
25 Oct
Monaco
1 : 1
Lille
21 Oct
Lille
2 : 4
Galatasaray
17 Oct
Lille
1 : 1
Brest
13 Oct
Arsenal
3 : 0
Lille
10 Oct
Lille
1 : 0
Le Havre
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSG 8 5 2 1 16:9 17
2 Rennes 8 5 1 2 18:14 16
3 Lille 8 4 3 1 11:6 15
4 Monaco 8 4 3 1 11:7 15
5 Lyon 8 4 2 2 13:7 14
6 Paris FC 8 4 2 2 13:9 14
7 Lens 8 4 1 3 16:12 13
8 Marseille 8 4 0 4 18:13 12
9 Lorient 8 3 3 2 7:6 12
10 Nice 8 3 2 3 8:10 11
11 Toulouse 8 2 4 2 12:11 10
12 Auxerre 8 3 1 4 12:18 10
13 Brest 8 2 3 3 14:12 9
14 Angers 8 2 2 4 9:15 8
15 Le Mans 8 1 4 3 11:16 7
16 Strasbourg 8 2 1 5 12:18 7
17 Troyes 8 1 2 5 5:16 5
18 Le Havre 8 0 2 6 8:15 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)