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Angers vs PSG

France France

Ligue 1 2025/2026 Stade Raymond-Kopa, Angers
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Lee Kang-In
10'
Ramos G.
22'
Sbai A.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 2025/2026 game between Angers and PSG finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward PSG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Angers
15%
Draws
31%
PSG
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Angers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and PSG come out ahead of Angers on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Angers's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors PSG here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Angers Clean Sheet 16%
PSG Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Angers PSG
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 19
Draws 5 5
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.14 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Ligue 1
Angers vs PSG
0:3
Aug 22, 2025 Ligue 1
PSG vs Angers
1:0
Apr 5, 2025 Ligue 1
PSG vs Angers
1:0
Nov 9, 2024 Ligue 1
Angers vs PSG
2:4
Apr 21, 2023 Ligue 1
Angers vs PSG
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Angers Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

PSG Compare

Top Goalscorer Lee Kang-In
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mayulu S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Angers 66 / 100
PSG 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Angers PSG

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Angers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Angers scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

PSG has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Solid form: Angers remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Angers VS PSG
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Angers

(Home)
15 Aug
Angers
3 : 2
Paris FC
08 Aug
Angers
2 : 1
Lorient
01 Aug
Angers
2 : 3
Le Mans
25 Jul
Angers
2 : 1
Creteil
22 Jul
Angers
3 : 1
Les Herbiers
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PSG

(Away)
12 Aug
PSG
2 : 1
Aston Villa
08 Aug
PSG
1 : 1
Manchester United
05 Aug
Mallorca
3 : 0
PSG
30 May
PSG
2 : 1
Arsenal
17 May
Paris FC
2 : 1
PSG
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSG 34 24 4 6 74:29 76
2 Lens 34 22 4 8 66:35 70
3 Lille 34 18 7 9 52:37 61
4 Lyon 34 18 6 10 53:40 60
5 Marseille 34 18 5 11 63:45 59
6 Rennes 34 17 8 9 59:50 59
7 Monaco 34 16 6 12 60:54 54
8 Strasbourg 34 15 8 11 58:47 53
9 Toulouse 34 12 9 13 47:46 45
10 Lorient 34 11 12 11 48:51 45
11 Paris FC 34 11 11 12 47:50 44
12 Brest 34 10 9 15 43:55 39
13 Angers 34 9 9 16 29:48 36
14 Le Havre 34 7 14 13 32:44 35
15 Auxerre 34 8 10 16 34:44 34
16 Nice 34 7 11 16 37:60 32
17 Nantes 34 5 9 20 29:52 24
18 Metz 34 3 8 23 32:76 17
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)