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Angers vs Toulouse

France France

Ligue 1 2025/2026 Stade Raymond-Kopa, Angers
Our Tip

Match Events

54'
Ekomie J.
57'
Demba P.
63'
Sub
Emersonn In: Vignolo J.
Out: Emersonn

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 2025/2026 game between Angers and Toulouse finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Angers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Angers
15%
Draws
8%
Toulouse
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Angers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Angers haven't matched Toulouse's recent run of results.
  • 77% — that's where the model lands on Angers taking it.
  • Regular Ligue 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Angers Clean Sheet 68%
Toulouse Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Angers Toulouse
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 5 6
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.17 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Ligue 1
Angers vs Toulouse
1:0
Jan 10, 2026 Coupe de France
Angers vs Toulouse
1:2
Nov 23, 2025 Ligue 1
Toulouse vs Angers
0:1
Mar 2, 2025 Ligue 1
Angers vs Toulouse
0:4
Oct 20, 2024 Ligue 1
Toulouse vs Angers
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Angers Compare

Top Goalscorer Raolisoa L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Toulouse Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Angers 95 / 100
Toulouse 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Angers Toulouse

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Angers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Angers scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Toulouse let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Angers has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Angers VS Toulouse
2 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Angers

(Home)
06 Sept
Angers
1 : 2
Rennes
29 Aug
Auxerre
1 : 3
Angers
23 Aug
Angers
0 : 2
Lille
15 Aug
Angers
3 : 2
Paris FC
08 Aug
Angers
2 : 1
Lorient
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Toulouse

(Away)
03 Sept
Toulouse
0 : 1
Lille
29 Aug
Brest
2 : 2
Toulouse
22 Aug
Toulouse
0 : 2
Lyon
15 Aug
Toulouse
1 : 2
Hamburger
08 Aug
Elche
3 : 0
Toulouse
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSG 34 24 4 6 74:29 76
2 Lens 34 22 4 8 66:35 70
3 Lille 34 18 7 9 52:37 61
4 Lyon 34 18 6 10 53:40 60
5 Marseille 34 18 5 11 63:45 59
6 Rennes 34 17 8 9 59:50 59
7 Monaco 34 16 6 12 60:54 54
8 Strasbourg 34 15 8 11 58:47 53
9 Toulouse 34 12 9 13 47:46 45
10 Lorient 34 11 12 11 48:51 45
11 Paris FC 34 11 11 12 47:50 44
12 Brest 34 10 9 15 43:55 39
13 Angers 34 9 9 16 29:48 36
14 Le Havre 34 7 14 13 32:44 35
15 Auxerre 34 8 10 16 34:44 34
16 Nice 34 7 11 16 37:60 32
17 Nantes 34 5 9 20 29:52 24
18 Metz 34 3 8 23 32:76 17
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)