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Angers vs Toulouse

France France

Ligue 1 2025/2026 Stade Raymond-Kopa, Angers
Our Tip

Match Events

54'
Ekomie J.
57'
Demba P.
63'
Sub
Emersonn In: Vignolo J.
Out: Emersonn

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 2025/2026 game between Angers and Toulouse finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Angers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Angers
40%
Draws
29%
Toulouse
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Angers haven't matched Toulouse's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Ligue 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Angers Clean Sheet 13%
Toulouse Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Angers Toulouse
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 6 7
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 0.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 2 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Ligue 1
Angers vs Toulouse
1:0
Jan 10, 2026 Coupe de France
Angers vs Toulouse
1:2
Nov 23, 2025 Ligue 1
Toulouse vs Angers
0:1
Mar 2, 2025 Ligue 1
Angers vs Toulouse
0:4
Oct 20, 2024 Ligue 1
Toulouse vs Angers
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Angers Compare

Top Goalscorer Raolisoa L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Toulouse Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Angers 31 / 100
Toulouse 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Angers Toulouse

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Angers scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Toulouse let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Angers has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Angers VS Toulouse
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Angers

(Home)
22 Jul
Angers
3 : 1
Les Herbiers
17 May
Brest
1 : 1
Angers
10 May
Angers
1 : 1
Strasbourg
03 May
Auxerre
3 : 1
Angers
25 Apr
Angers
0 : 3
PSG
Page 1 of 6

Toulouse

(Away)
17 May
Nantes
0 : 0
Toulouse
10 May
Toulouse
2 : 1
Lyon
03 May
Strasbourg
1 : 2
Toulouse
25 Apr
Toulouse
2 : 2
Monaco
21 Apr
Lens
4 : 1
Toulouse
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1PSG34244674:2976
2Lens34224866:3570
3Lille34187952:3761
4Lyon341861053:4060
5Marseille341851163:4559
6Rennes34178959:5059
7Monaco341661260:5454
8Strasbourg341581158:4753
9Toulouse341291347:4645
10Lorient3411121148:5145
11Paris FC3411111247:5044
12Brest341091543:5539
13Angers34991629:4836
14Le Havre347141332:4435
15Auxerre348101634:4434
16Nice347111637:6032
17Nantes34592029:5224
18Metz34382332:7617
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)