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Angola vs Mauritania

World World

Friendly International Stade Larbi Zaouli, Casablanca
Our Tip

Match Events

86' Event
Keliano M.
90' Event
Thiam I.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International game between Angola and Mauritania finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Angola
35%
Draws
32%
Mauritania
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Angola come out ahead of Mauritania on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Angola's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Friendly International form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Angola Clean Sheet 68%
Mauritania Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Angola Mauritania
Matches Played 28 25
Wins 10 7
Draws 11 10
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.39 0.76
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.92
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2026 Friendly International
Angola vs Mauritania
1:1
Jan 20, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations
Mauritania vs Angola
2:3
Jan 20, 2023 African Nations Championship
Angola vs Mauritania
0:0
Jun 29, 2019 Africa Cup of Nations
Mauritania vs Angola
0:0
Oct 16, 2018 Africa Cup of Nations
Mauritania vs Angola
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Angola Compare

Top Goalscorer Keliano M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Mauritania Compare

Top Goalscorer Thiam I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Angola 51 / 100
Mauritania 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Angola Mauritania

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Angola stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Angola scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Mauritania conceded in 56% of 25 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Angola VS Mauritania
1.13 Goals Scored 0.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Angola

(Home)
25 Sept
Egypt
0 : 0
Angola
09 Jun
Angola
3 : 0
Central Africa
05 Jun
Angola
1 : 1
Mauritania
29 Dec
Angola
0 : 0
Egypt
26 Dec
Angola
1 : 1
Zimbabwe
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Mauritania

(Away)
24 Sept
Mauritania
3 : 1
Central Africa
08 Jun
Niger
0 : 1
Mauritania
05 Jun
Angola
1 : 1
Mauritania
27 Mar
Argentina
2 : 1
Mauritania
25 Nov
Mauritania
0 : 2
Kuwait
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