Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Angola vs Namibia

Africa Africa

COSAFA Cup Toyota Stadium (Free State), Bloemfontein
Angola Logo

Angola

1 - 1
FT
Namibia Logo

Namibia

Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Amutenya P.
34'
Gaspar J.
46'
Sub
Gaspar J. In: Hossi A.
Out: Gaspar J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. The second leg ended 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Angola
30%
Draws
23%
Namibia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Angola

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Angola come out ahead of Namibia on wins alone.
  • Model gives Angola a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Angola have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Angola, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Angola Clean Sheet 68%
Namibia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Angola Namibia
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 7
Draws 12 10
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.5 0.79
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.77
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2025 COSAFA Cup
Angola vs Namibia
1:1
Jul 7, 2024 COSAFA Cup
Angola vs Namibia
5:0
Jun 28, 2024 COSAFA Cup
Angola vs Namibia
0:0
Jan 27, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations
Angola vs Namibia
3:0
Dec 22, 2011 Friendly International
Angola vs Namibia
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Angola Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Namibia Compare

Top Goalscorer Kamberipa I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.7
Avg xA / game 0.43

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Angola 95 / 100
Namibia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Angola Namibia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Angola Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Angola's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Namibia has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Angola has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Angola VS Namibia
1.63 Goals Scored 0.29
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.86
75% Over 1.5 57%
63% Over 2.5 43%
50% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Angola

(Home)
09 Jun
Angola
3 : 0
Central Africa
05 Jun
Angola
1 : 1
Mauritania
29 Dec
Angola
0 : 0
Egypt
26 Dec
Angola
1 : 1
Zimbabwe
22 Dec
South Africa
2 : 1
Angola
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Namibia

(Away)
28 Mar
Namibia
1 : 0
Comoros
25 Mar
Kazakhstan
2 : 0
Namibia
17 Nov
Comoros
4 : 0
Namibia
14 Nov
Comoros
1 : 0
Namibia
13 Oct
Tunisia
3 : 0
Namibia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Africa 3 1 1 1 2:1 4
2 Zimbabwe 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
3 Mozambique 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
4 Mauritius 3 0 3 0 0:0 3
Promotion - COSAFA Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Angola 3 2 1 0 6:1 7
2 Namibia 3 1 2 0 4:1 5
3 Lesotho 3 1 0 2 1:7 3
4 Malawi 3 0 1 2 0:2 1
Promotion - COSAFA Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Madagascar 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
2 Tanzania 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Eswatini 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
4 Morocco 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - COSAFA Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comoros 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
2 Botswana 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
3 Zambia 2 0 1 1 3:4 1
Promotion - COSAFA Cup (Play Offs)