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Angola W vs Malawi W Prediction & H2H Stats

Africa Africa

COSAFA Cup Women Old Peter Mokaba Stadium, Polokwane
Angola W Logo

Angola W

0 - 1
FT
Malawi W Logo

Malawi W

Our Tip

Match Events

79' Event
Khumalo I.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Angola W
15%
Draws
59%
Malawi W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Malawi W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Malawi W have won more games recently than Angola W.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Malawi W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Malawi W, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Malawi W here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Angola W Clean Sheet 20%
Malawi W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Angola W Malawi W
Matches Played 28 36
Wins 7 19
Draws 6 4
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 0.93 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.96 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2026 COSAFA Cup Women
Angola W vs Malawi W
0:1
Oct 28, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Malawi W vs Angola W
2:0
Oct 23, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Angola W vs Malawi W
0:0
Oct 4, 2021 COSAFA Cup Women
Angola W vs Malawi W
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Angola W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Malawi W Compare

Top Goalscorer Khumalo I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Angola W 32 / 100
Malawi W 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Angola W Malawi W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Malawi W let in goals in 66% of their last 35 matches.

Attacking prowess: Angola W scored in 46% of their last 26 outings.

H2H data points to 1.25 goals as a typical output.

Angola W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Angola W VS Malawi W
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
25% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Angola W

(Home)
24 Feb
Angola W
0 : 1
Malawi W
21 Feb
South Africa W
2 : 0
Angola W
18 Feb
Lesotho W
1 : 3
Angola W
28 Oct
Malawi W
2 : 0
Angola W
23 Oct
Angola W
0 : 0
Malawi W
Page 1 of 6

Malawi W

(Away)
16 Aug
Cameroon W
3 : 0
Malawi W
12 Aug
Algeria W
1 : 3
Malawi W
09 Aug
Malawi W
2 : 1
Ghana W
05 Aug
Malawi W
1 : 2
Zambia W
01 Aug
Egypt W
1 : 3
Malawi W
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Africa W 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
2 Malawi W 3 2 0 1 9:3 6
3 Angola W 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 Lesotho W 3 0 1 2 3:12 1
Promotion - COSAFA Cup Women (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zambia W 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
2 Zimbabwe W 3 2 1 0 3:0 7
3 Eswatini W 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
4 Botswana W 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
Promotion - COSAFA Cup Women (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Namibia W 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
2 Mozambique W 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Madagascar W 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
Promotion - COSAFA Cup Women (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams