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Angri vs Casarano

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Ferrara V.
12' Event
Loiodice N.
16' Event
Versienti L.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 game between Angri and Casarano finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Casarano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Angri
15%
Draws
59%
Casarano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Casarano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Casarano come out ahead of Angri on wins alone.
  • Casarano are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Casarano have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Angri Clean Sheet 12%
Casarano Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Angri Casarano
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 5 20
Draws 6 4
Losses 19 10
Goals Scored 0.93 1.82
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Angri vs Casarano
0:4
Nov 3, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Casarano vs Angri
2:0
Mar 17, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Angri vs Casarano
1:0
Nov 5, 2023 Serie D - Group H
Casarano vs Angri
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Angri Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Casarano Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferrara V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Loiodice N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Angri 10 / 100
Casarano 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Angri Casarano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Casarano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Casarano has conceded goals in 71% of their last 34 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Angri's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Angri went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Casarano
0 Goals Scored 2.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Angri

(Home)
04 May
Angri
3 : 1
Costa Amalfi
27 Apr
Nocerina
6 : 0
Angri
17 Apr
Matera
3 : 1
Angri
13 Apr
Angri
2 : 3
Citta di Fasano
06 Apr
Virtus Francavilla
4 : 0
Angri
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Casarano

(Away)
27 Sept
Casarano
0 : 1
Monopoli
19 Sept
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1
Casarano
15 Sept
Casarano
1 : 0
Audace Cerignola
11 Sept
Casarano
3 : 1
Barletta
05 Sept
Bari
1 : 0
Casarano
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Casarano 34 21 11 2 72:30 74
2 Nocerina 34 20 10 4 64:27 70
3 Martina Calcio 34 17 11 6 48:28 62
4 Fidelis Andria 34 16 9 9 41:29 57
5 Citta di Fasano 34 13 11 10 45:32 50
6 Matera 34 12 13 9 51:47 49
7 Virtus Francavilla 34 12 11 11 41:34 47
8 A.C.D. Nardo 34 13 8 13 47:45 47
9 Ischia 34 11 12 11 39:45 45
10 Palmese 1914 34 10 12 12 41:45 42
11 Gravina 34 11 9 14 43:46 42
12 Francavilla 34 11 8 15 28:34 41
13 Acerrana 34 11 8 15 37:50 41
14 ASD Ugento 34 10 7 17 33:51 37
15 Manfredonia 34 8 11 15 33:51 35
16 Brindisi 34 9 14 11 44:43 27
17 Angri 34 6 8 20 35:69 26
18 Costa Amalfi 34 3 11 20 26:62 20
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 (Play Out)