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Angri vs Casarano

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Ferrara V.
12' Event
Loiodice N.
16' Event
Versienti L.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 game between Angri and Casarano finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Casarano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Angri
15%
Draws
59%
Casarano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Casarano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Casarano come out ahead of Angri on wins alone.
  • Casarano are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Casarano have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Angri Clean Sheet 18%
Casarano Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Angri Casarano
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 14
Draws 6 6
Losses 19 10
Goals Scored 0 1.63
Goals Conceded 0 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Angri vs Casarano
0:4
Nov 3, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Casarano vs Angri
2:0
Mar 17, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Angri vs Casarano
1:0
Nov 5, 2023 Serie D - Group H
Casarano vs Angri
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Angri Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Casarano Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferrara V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Loiodice N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Angri 12 / 100
Casarano 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Angri Casarano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Casarano has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Angri's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Angri went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Casarano
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Angri

(Home)
04 May
Angri
3 : 1
Costa Amalfi
27 Apr
Nocerina
6 : 0
Angri
17 Apr
Matera
3 : 1
Angri
13 Apr
Angri
2 : 3
Citta di Fasano
06 Apr
Virtus Francavilla
4 : 0
Angri
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Casarano

(Away)
20 May
Union Brescia
0 : 0
Casarano
17 May
Casarano
0 : 3
Union Brescia
13 May
Renate
0 : 3
Casarano
10 May
Casarano
0 : 2
Renate
06 May
Cosenza
1 : 5
Casarano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Casarano 34 21 11 2 72:30 74
2 Nocerina 34 20 10 4 64:27 70
3 Martina Calcio 34 17 11 6 48:28 62
4 Fidelis Andria 34 16 9 9 41:29 57
5 Citta di Fasano 34 13 11 10 45:32 50
6 Matera 34 12 13 9 51:47 49
7 Virtus Francavilla 34 12 11 11 41:34 47
8 A.C.D. Nardo 34 13 8 13 47:45 47
9 Ischia 34 11 12 11 39:45 45
10 Palmese 1914 34 10 12 12 41:45 42
11 Gravina 34 11 9 14 43:46 42
12 Francavilla 34 11 8 15 28:34 41
13 Acerrana 34 11 8 15 37:50 41
14 ASD Ugento 34 10 7 17 33:51 37
15 Manfredonia 34 8 11 15 33:51 35
16 Brindisi 34 9 14 11 44:43 27
17 Angri 34 6 8 20 35:69 26
18 Costa Amalfi 34 3 11 20 26:62 20
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 (Play Out)