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Angri vs Citta di Fasano

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Onraita F.
17' Event
Cassese L.
40' Event
Barile A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 game between Angri and Citta di Fasano finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Citta di Fasano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Angri
15%
Draws
57%
Citta di Fasano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Citta di Fasano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Citta di Fasano come out ahead of Angri on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Citta di Fasano's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Angri Clean Sheet 19%
Citta di Fasano Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Angri Citta di Fasano
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 16
Draws 6 6
Losses 19 10
Goals Scored 0.93 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Angri vs Citta di Fasano
2:3
Dec 1, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Citta di Fasano vs Angri
3:0
Apr 14, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Citta di Fasano vs Angri
1:2
Dec 3, 2023 Serie D - Group H
Angri vs Citta di Fasano
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Angri Compare

Top Goalscorer Cassese L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Giannini M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Citta di Fasano Compare

Top Goalscorer Onraita F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Barile A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Angri 10 / 100
Citta di Fasano 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Angri Citta di Fasano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Citta di Fasano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Citta di Fasano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 32 matches.

Citta di Fasano lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Angri's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Citta di Fasano
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Angri

(Home)
04 May
Angri
3 : 1
Costa Amalfi
27 Apr
Nocerina
6 : 0
Angri
17 Apr
Matera
3 : 1
Angri
13 Apr
Angri
2 : 3
Citta di Fasano
06 Apr
Virtus Francavilla
4 : 0
Angri
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Citta di Fasano

(Away)
10 May
Citta di Fasano
1 : 2
Paganese
03 May
Citta di Fasano
6 : 0
Paganese
26 Apr
Real Normanna
2 : 0
Citta di Fasano
19 Apr
Citta di Fasano
1 : 0
Martina Calcio
12 Apr
Barletta
3 : 2
Citta di Fasano
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Casarano 34 21 11 2 72:30 74
2 Nocerina 34 20 10 4 64:27 70
3 Martina Calcio 34 17 11 6 48:28 62
4 Fidelis Andria 34 16 9 9 41:29 57
5 Citta di Fasano 34 13 11 10 45:32 50
6 Matera 34 12 13 9 51:47 49
7 Virtus Francavilla 34 12 11 11 41:34 47
8 A.C.D. Nardo 34 13 8 13 47:45 47
9 Ischia 34 11 12 11 39:45 45
10 Palmese 1914 34 10 12 12 41:45 42
11 Gravina 34 11 9 14 43:46 42
12 Francavilla 34 11 8 15 28:34 41
13 Acerrana 34 11 8 15 37:50 41
14 ASD Ugento 34 10 7 17 33:51 37
15 Manfredonia 34 8 11 15 33:51 35
16 Brindisi 34 9 14 11 44:43 27
17 Angri 34 6 8 20 35:69 26
18 Costa Amalfi 34 3 11 20 26:62 20
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 (Play Out)