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Angri vs Nocerina

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Padalino A.
25' Event
Felleca F.
34' Event
Ciriello V.

AI Match Summary

Nocerina in this Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nocerina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Angri
20%
Draws
50%
Nocerina
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nocerina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nocerina lately — more wins on the board than Angri.
  • Nocerina are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Angri Clean Sheet 20%
Nocerina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Angri Nocerina
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 13
Draws 6 11
Losses 19 8
Goals Scored 0.93 1.34
Goals Conceded 2.17 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Nocerina vs Angri
6:0
Dec 15, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Angri vs Nocerina
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Angri Compare

Top Goalscorer Ciriello V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Nocerina Compare

Top Goalscorer Padalino A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Felleca F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Angri 10 / 100
Nocerina 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Angri Nocerina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nocerina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Angri scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Nocerina has conceded goals in 59% of their last 32 outings.

Angri has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Nocerina
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Angri

(Home)
04 May
Angri
3 : 1
Costa Amalfi
27 Apr
Nocerina
6 : 0
Angri
17 Apr
Matera
3 : 1
Angri
13 Apr
Angri
2 : 3
Citta di Fasano
06 Apr
Virtus Francavilla
4 : 0
Angri
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Nocerina

(Away)
11 Aug
Nocerina
3 : 0
Gelbison
03 May
Nocerina
0 : 1
Ischia
26 Apr
Monastir
1 : 0
Nocerina
19 Apr
Nocerina
1 : 1
Flaminia
12 Apr
Atl. Lodigiani
0 : 0
Nocerina
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Casarano 34 21 11 2 72:30 74
2 Nocerina 34 20 10 4 64:27 70
3 Martina Calcio 34 17 11 6 48:28 62
4 Fidelis Andria 34 16 9 9 41:29 57
5 Citta di Fasano 34 13 11 10 45:32 50
6 Matera 34 12 13 9 51:47 49
7 Virtus Francavilla 34 12 11 11 41:34 47
8 A.C.D. Nardo 34 13 8 13 47:45 47
9 Ischia 34 11 12 11 39:45 45
10 Palmese 1914 34 10 12 12 41:45 42
11 Gravina 34 11 9 14 43:46 42
12 Francavilla 34 11 8 15 28:34 41
13 Acerrana 34 11 8 15 37:50 41
14 ASD Ugento 34 10 7 17 33:51 37
15 Manfredonia 34 8 11 15 33:51 35
16 Brindisi 34 9 14 11 44:43 27
17 Angri 34 6 8 20 35:69 26
18 Costa Amalfi 34 3 11 20 26:62 20
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 (Play Out)